The Prediction Markets

Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's cricket?

Closes
Jan 30, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$35K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
48 min ago
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What the markets expect

Great Britain 99%

Next is India at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 48 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Great Britain
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 48 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Great Britain
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
India
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 48 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
India
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
South Africa
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Africa
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Australia
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Australia
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$298
Trade this on Kalshi
Barbados
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Barbados
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Kalshi
Afghanistan
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Afghanistan
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$383
Trade this on Kalshi
Grenada
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Grenada
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ireland
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ireland
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Kalshi
Dominica
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dominica
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Kalshi
Saint Lucia
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saint Lucia
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$647
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 17 more outcomes
Guyana
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Guyana
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sri Lanka
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sri Lanka
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$716
Trade this on Kalshi
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Kalshi
Saint Kitts and Nevis
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
United Arab Emirates
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
United Arab Emirates
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Kalshi
Zimbabwe
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zimbabwe
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jamaica
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jamaica
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$725
Trade this on Kalshi
Canada
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Canada
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$423
Trade this on Kalshi
Netherlands
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$660
Trade this on Kalshi
New Zealand
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Zealand
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$495
Trade this on Kalshi
Antigua and Barbuda
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Antigua and Barbuda
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bangladesh
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bangladesh
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$422
Trade this on Kalshi
Namibia
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Namibia
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$530
Trade this on Kalshi
Nepal
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nepal
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Kalshi
Oman
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oman
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$224
Trade this on Kalshi
Pakistan
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pakistan
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$737
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinidad and Tobago
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 48 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinidad and Tobago
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 48 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the International Olympic Committee, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Great Britain
  • India
  • South Africa

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
—
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—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's cricket?". Great Britain leads at 99%. Next is India at 99%. $35K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 30, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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