The Prediction Markets

Wisconsin vs Iowa

FinalKickoff
Traded
$5.1M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Nov 2, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Spread: Iowa (-1.5)
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 37s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Iowa (-1.5)
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Iowa (-14.5)
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 37s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Iowa (-14.5)
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$408
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa O/U 1.5
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 37s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa O/U 1.5
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.5
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 37s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.5
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Polymarket
1H Spread -0.5
75.1%
Polymarket 75.1%polled, 37s ago
Polymarket
Contract
1H Spread -0.5
Last price
75.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
50.2¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa O/U 2.5
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 37s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa O/U 2.5
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
6¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 37s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 37s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Wisconsin O/U 1.5
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wisconsin O/U 1.5
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 49.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 49.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$353
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 55.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 55.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$173
Trade this on Polymarket

Same bet: both pay the winner of the game

Ties: both venues pay 50/50.

Only differs in an edge case

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Ties: both venues pay 50/50.
  • Trading closes Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Spread: Iowa (-1.5)
  • Spread: Iowa (-14.5)
  • Iowa O/U 1.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Wisconsin vs Iowa". Spread: Iowa (-1.5) last traded at 100%. Next is Spread: Iowa (-14.5) at 100%. $5.1M has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market closed on Nov 2, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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