The Prediction Markets

Worlds 2026 Most Picked Champion

Closes
Nov 28, 2026, in 22 days
Traded
$42K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Nocturne 94%

Next is Lee Sin at 67.4%. The venues differ most on Lee Sin (Polymarket 80.2%, Kalshi 42%), a 38-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Nocturne
94%
Polymarket 94%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nocturne
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$628
Trade this on Polymarket
Lee Sin
67.4%
Polymarket 80.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 42%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lee Sin
Last price
80.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86.2¢
Sell Yes
74.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lee Sin
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$827
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 74.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 82¢.

Ezreal
19.7%
Polymarket 21%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ezreal
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28.8¢
Sell Yes
13.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$347 (3.47x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ezreal
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$639
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 13.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 22¢.

Alistar
5.9%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alistar
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alistar
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8.4¢.

Nautilus
3.9%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nautilus
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nautilus
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 2.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 60 bps before fees.

Vi
3.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vi
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10.5¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$952 (9.52x)
Volume
$365
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Vi
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Jarvan IV
3.5%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jarvan IV
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$576
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jarvan IV
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.4¢.

Rumble
3.3%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rumble
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rumble
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.8¢.

Olaf
3.2%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Olaf
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,099 (11.0x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Olaf
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Renata Glasc
3.1%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Renata Glasc
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Renata Glasc
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Show 41 more outcomes
Orianna
2.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 8%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orianna
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$811
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Orianna
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 30 bps before fees.

Qiyana
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Qiyana
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ambessa
1.5%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ambessa
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$237
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ambessa
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 90 bps before fees.

Ahri
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ahri
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Akali
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Akali
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ashe
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ashe
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bard
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bard
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Caitlyn
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caitlyn
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Camille
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Camille
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cho'Gath
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cho'Gath
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Corki
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Corki
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Galio
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Galio
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Gnar
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gnar
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayce
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayce
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jhin
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jhin
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalista
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kalista
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Karma
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Karma
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lucian
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lucian
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Milio
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Milio
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Naafiri
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Naafiri
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Pantheon
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pantheon
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rakan
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rakan
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rell
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rell
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Renekton
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Renekton
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryze
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryze
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Seraphine
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seraphine
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sion
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sion
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Skarner
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Skarner
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Taliyah
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taliyah
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trundle
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trundle
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Varus
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Varus
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Viktor
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Viktor
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Wukong
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wukong
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Xayah
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Xayah
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Xin Zhao
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Xin Zhao
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yunara
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yunara
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ziggs
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ziggs
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Syndra
1.3%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Syndra
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$445
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Syndra
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 90 bps before fees.

K'Sante
1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
K'Sante
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$510
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
K'Sante
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Lulu
1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lulu
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$486
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lulu
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Cassiopeia
1%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cassiopeia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cassiopeia
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Indicative gap, prices are 5 min old: Ambessa asks 0.1¢ on Polymarket and bids 1¢ on Kalshi (90 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Dec 15, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 28, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: lol.fandom.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: LoL Esports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Dec 15, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 28, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Nocturne
  • Lee Sin
  • Ezreal

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Nocturne for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Worlds 2026 Most Picked Champion". Nocturne leads at 94%. Next is Lee Sin at 67.4%. $42K has traded across 51 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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