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What the markets expect
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova 64.5%
Next is WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova at 60.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova64.5%64.5%64¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 4 min ago65¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $154 (1.54x)WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova64.5%Polymarket 64.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
64.5%
64.5%
64¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
65¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $984
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaPolymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set 1 Winner”60.5%60.5%59¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 4 min ago62¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $161 (1.61x)WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova60.5%Polymarket 60.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Polymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set 1 Winner”
60.5%
60.5%
59¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
62¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set 1 Winner
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaPolymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 21.5”55.5%55.5%54¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 4 min ago57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova55.5%Polymarket 55.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Polymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 21.5”
55.5%
55.5%
54¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 21.5
- Last price
- 55.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $9
Completed Match55%55%10¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 min agoNo askCompleted Match55%Polymarket 55%polled, 4 min ago
Completed Match
55%
55%
10¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 min ago
No ask
Completed Match
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 4 min ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Completed Match
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaPolymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Game Spread +/-2.5”54%54%53¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 4 min ago55¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $182 (1.82x)WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova54%Polymarket 54%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Polymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Game Spread +/-2.5”
54%
54%
53¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
55¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Game Spread +/-2.5
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaPolymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 22.5”52.5%52.5%51¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 4 min ago54¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $185 (1.85x)WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova52.5%Polymarket 52.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Polymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 22.5”
52.5%
52.5%
51¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
54¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 22.5
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $185
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaPolymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 Winner”50%50%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 min agoNo askWTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min ago
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Polymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 Winner”
50%
50%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 min ago
No ask
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 Winner
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaPolymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 23.5”47.5%47.5%46¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 4 min ago49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova47.5%Polymarket 47.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Polymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 23.5”
47.5%
47.5%
46¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 23.5
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaPolymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Total Sets: O/U 2.5”43.5%43.5%42¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 4 min ago45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Polymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Total Sets: O/U 2.5”
43.5%
43.5%
42¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $5
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaPolymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.5”39.5%39.5%38¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 4 min ago41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova39.5%Polymarket 39.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Polymarket: “WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.5”
39.5%
39.5%
38¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $3
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: wtatennis.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buy
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova". WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova leads at 64.5%. Next is WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova at 60.5%. $1K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Karolina Muchova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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