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What the markets expect
0.89991 or above 99.5%
Next is 0.91991 or above at 99.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
0.89991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask0.89991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
0.89991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
0.89991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.89991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
0.91991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask0.91991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
0.91991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
0.91991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.91991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
0.93991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask0.93991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
0.93991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
0.93991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.93991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
0.95991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask0.95991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
0.95991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
0.95991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.95991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
0.97991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask0.97991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
0.97991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
0.97991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.97991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
0.99991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask0.99991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
0.99991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
0.99991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.99991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1.11991 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.11991 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 47s ago
1.11991 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.11991 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.11991 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
1.17991 or above97%97%94¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.17991 or above97%Kalshi 97%polled, 47s ago
1.17991 or above
97%
97%
94¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.17991 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.17991 or above
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
1.01991 or above96.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.01991 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
1.01991 or above
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.01991 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.01991 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
1.03991 or above96.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.03991 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
1.03991 or above
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.03991 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.03991 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
Show 30 more outcomesHide 30 outcomes
1.05991 or above96.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.05991 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
1.05991 or above
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.05991 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.05991 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
1.07991 or above96.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.07991 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
1.07991 or above
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.07991 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.07991 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
1.09991 or above96.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.09991 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
1.09991 or above
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.09991 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.09991 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
1.13991 or above96.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.13991 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
1.13991 or above
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.13991 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.13991 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
1.15991 or above96.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.15991 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
1.15991 or above
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.15991 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.15991 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
1.19991 or above96.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.19991 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
1.19991 or above
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.19991 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.19991 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
1.21991 or above96%96%92¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.21991 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 47s ago
1.21991 or above
96%
96%
92¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.21991 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.21991 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
1.23991 or above96%96%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 47s agoNo ask1.23991 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 47s ago
1.23991 or above
96%
96%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47s ago
No ask
1.23991 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.23991 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- Volume
- $562
1.25991 or above91%91%91¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 47s ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)1.25991 or above91%Kalshi 91%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
1.25991 or above
91%
91%
91¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
1.25991 or above
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.25991 or above
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $2K
1.27991 or above68%68%66¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 47s ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)1.27991 or above68%Kalshi 68%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
1.27991 or above
68%
68%
66¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
1.27991 or above
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.27991 or above
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $2K
1.29991 or above34%34%28¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 47s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)1.29991 or above34%Kalshi 34%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
1.29991 or above
34%
34%
28¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
1.29991 or above
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.29991 or above
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $613
1.31991 or above12%12%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 47s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)1.31991 or above12%Kalshi 12%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
1.31991 or above
12%
12%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
1.31991 or above
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.31991 or above
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $2K
1.33991 or above4%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)1.33991 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
1.33991 or above
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
1.33991 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.33991 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
1.39991 or above3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)1.39991 or above3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.39991 or above
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.39991 or above
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.39991 or above
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
1.47991 or above3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)1.47991 or above3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.47991 or above
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.47991 or above
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.47991 or above
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
1.49991 or above3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)1.49991 or above3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.49991 or above
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.49991 or above
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.49991 or above
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
1.51991 or above3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)1.51991 or above3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.51991 or above
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.51991 or above
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.51991 or above
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
1.53991 or above3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)1.53991 or above3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.53991 or above
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.53991 or above
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.53991 or above
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
1.55991 or above3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)1.55991 or above3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.55991 or above
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.55991 or above
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.55991 or above
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
1.57991 or above3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)1.57991 or above3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.57991 or above
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.57991 or above
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.57991 or above
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
1.41991 or above3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 47s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)1.41991 or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.41991 or above
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.41991 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.41991 or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
1.43991 or above3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 47s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)1.43991 or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.43991 or above
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.43991 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.43991 or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
1.45991 or above3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 47s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)1.45991 or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.45991 or above
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.45991 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.45991 or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
1.35991 or above2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)1.35991 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
1.35991 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
1.35991 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.35991 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
1.37991 or above2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)1.37991 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
1.37991 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
1.37991 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.37991 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
1.67991 or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1.67991 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.67991 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.67991 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.67991 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2
1.59991 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1.59991 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.59991 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.59991 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.59991 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1.61991 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1.61991 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.61991 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.61991 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.61991 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1.63991 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1.63991 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.63991 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.63991 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.63991 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1.65991 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1.65991 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.65991 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.65991 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.65991 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 0.89991 or above
- 0.91991 or above
- 0.93991 or above
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for " XRP price at Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ". 0.89991 or above leads at 99.5%. Next is 0.91991 or above at 99.5%. $8K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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