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Trading ended on Oct 8, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
0.99991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask0.99991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
0.99991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
0.99991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.99991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1.01991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.01991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.01991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.01991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.01991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1.03991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.03991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.03991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.03991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.03991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1.05991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.05991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.05991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.05991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.05991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1.07991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.07991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.07991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.07991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.07991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1.09991 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.09991 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.09991 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.09991 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.09991 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1.15991 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.15991 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 375 h ago
1.15991 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.15991 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.15991 or above
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
1.11991 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.11991 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.11991 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.11991 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.11991 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
1.13991 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.13991 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.13991 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.13991 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.13991 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
1.17991 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.17991 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.17991 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.17991 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.17991 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
Show 30 more outcomesHide 30 outcomes
1.19991 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.19991 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.19991 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.19991 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.19991 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
1.21991 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.21991 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.21991 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.21991 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.21991 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
1.25991 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.25991 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.25991 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.25991 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.25991 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
1.23991 or above97%97%94¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.23991 or above97%Kalshi 97%polled, 375 h ago
1.23991 or above
97%
97%
94¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.23991 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.23991 or above
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
1.27991 or above97%97%94¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.27991 or above97%Kalshi 97%polled, 375 h ago
1.27991 or above
97%
97%
94¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.27991 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.27991 or above
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
1.29991 or above96.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.29991 or above96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.29991 or above
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.29991 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.29991 or above
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
1.33991 or above95.5%95.5%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.33991 or above95.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 375 h ago
1.33991 or above
95.5%
95.5%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.33991 or above
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.33991 or above
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
1.31991 or above95%95%90¢ bid, — askpolled, 375 h agoNo ask1.31991 or above95%Kalshi 95%polled, 375 h ago
1.31991 or above
95%
95%
90¢ bid, — ask
polled, 375 h ago
No ask
1.31991 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 375 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.31991 or above
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
1.35991 or above93%93%83¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 375 h ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)1.35991 or above93%Kalshi 93%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
1.35991 or above
93%
93%
83¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
1.35991 or above
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.35991 or above
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $1K
1.37991 or above85%85%70¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 375 h ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)1.37991 or above85%Kalshi 85%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
1.37991 or above
85%
85%
70¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
1.37991 or above
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.37991 or above
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $443
1.39991 or above68%68%50¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 375 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)1.39991 or above68%Kalshi 68%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
1.39991 or above
68%
68%
50¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
1.39991 or above
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.39991 or above
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $31
1.41991 or above31%31%29¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 375 h ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)1.41991 or above31%Kalshi 31%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
1.41991 or above
31%
31%
29¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
1.41991 or above
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.41991 or above
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $276
1.43991 or above26%26%16¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 375 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)1.43991 or above26%Kalshi 26%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
1.43991 or above
26%
26%
16¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
1.43991 or above
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.43991 or above
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $4K
1.45991 or above20%20%5¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 375 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)1.45991 or above20%Kalshi 20%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
1.45991 or above
20%
20%
5¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
1.45991 or above
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.45991 or above
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $624
1.47991 or above8%8%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 375 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)1.47991 or above8%Kalshi 8%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
1.47991 or above
8%
8%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
1.47991 or above
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.47991 or above
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $235
1.51991 or above6%6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 375 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)1.51991 or above6%Kalshi 6%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.51991 or above
6%
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.51991 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.51991 or above
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $28
1.49991 or above3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 375 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)1.49991 or above3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.49991 or above
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
1.49991 or above
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.49991 or above
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
1.53991 or above3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 375 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)1.53991 or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.53991 or above
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.53991 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.53991 or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
1.55991 or above3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 375 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)1.55991 or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.55991 or above
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.55991 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.55991 or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
1.57991 or above3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 375 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)1.57991 or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.57991 or above
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
1.57991 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.57991 or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
1.59991 or above2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 375 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)1.59991 or above2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.59991 or above
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.59991 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.59991 or above
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
1.63991 or above2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 375 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)1.63991 or above2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.63991 or above
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.63991 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.63991 or above
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
1.65991 or above2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 375 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)1.65991 or above2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.65991 or above
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.65991 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.65991 or above
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
1.67991 or above2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 375 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)1.67991 or above2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.67991 or above
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.67991 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.67991 or above
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
1.69991 or above2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 375 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)1.69991 or above2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.69991 or above
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.69991 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.69991 or above
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
1.71991 or above2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 375 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)1.71991 or above2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.71991 or above
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
1.71991 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.71991 or above
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
1.61991 or above2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 375 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)1.61991 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
1.61991 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
1.61991 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.61991 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
1.77991 or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 375 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1.77991 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.77991 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.77991 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.77991 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $96
1.73991 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 375 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1.73991 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.73991 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.73991 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.73991 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1.75991 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 375 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1.75991 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.75991 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 375 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1.75991 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 375 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.75991 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 0.99991 or above
- 1.01991 or above
- 1.03991 or above
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for " XRP price at Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ". 0.99991 or above last traded at 99.5%. Next is 1.01991 or above at 99.5%. $7K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 8, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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