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What the markets expect
1.30-1.40 49%
Next is 1.20-1.30 at 46.7%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
1.30-1.4049%49%46¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)1.30-1.4049%Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
1.30-1.40
49%
49%
46¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
52¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
1.30-1.40
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.30-1.40
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $3
1.20-1.3046.7%46.7%44¢ bid, 49.4¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed49.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $202 (2.02x)1.20-1.3046.7%Polymarket 46.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $202 (2.02x)
1.20-1.30
46.7%
46.7%
44¢ bid, 49.4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
49.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $202 (2.02x)
1.20-1.30
46.7%
Polymarket 46.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $202 (2.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.20-1.30
- Last price
- 46.7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $202 (2.02x)
- Volume
- $10
1.0000 - $1.249945%Not listed45%45¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, just now54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)1.0000 - $1.249945%Kalshi 45%polled, just nowBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
1.0000 - $1.2499
45%
Not listed
45%
45¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, just now
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
1.0000 - $1.2499
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, just nowBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.0000 - $1.2499
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $4K
Below $1.2040%Not listed40%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, just now41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Below $1.2040%Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Below $1.20
40%
Not listed
40%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, just now
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Below $1.20
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $1.20
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $6K
1.2500 - $1.499929%Not listed29%14¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, just now29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)1.2500 - $1.499929%Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
1.2500 - $1.4999
29%
Not listed
29%
14¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, just now
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
1.2500 - $1.4999
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.2500 - $1.4999
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $973
1.5000 - $1.749922%Not listed22%12¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)1.5000 - $1.749922%Kalshi 22%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
1.5000 - $1.7499
22%
Not listed
22%
12¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
1.5000 - $1.7499
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.5000 - $1.7499
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $4K
0.7500 - $0.999918%Not listed18%14¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)0.7500 - $0.999918%Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
0.7500 - $0.9999
18%
Not listed
18%
14¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
0.7500 - $0.9999
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.7500 - $0.9999
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $75
1.7500 - $1.999914%Not listed14%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, just now14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)1.7500 - $1.999914%Kalshi 14%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
1.7500 - $1.9999
14%
Not listed
14%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, just now
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
1.7500 - $1.9999
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.7500 - $1.9999
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $2K
Below $1.1013%Not listed13%8¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, just now15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Below $1.1013%Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Below $1.10
13%
Not listed
13%
8¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, just now
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Below $1.10
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $1.10
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $688
2.2500 - $2.499910%Not listed10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)2.2500 - $2.499910%Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
2.2500 - $2.4999
10%
Not listed
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
2.2500 - $2.4999
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.2500 - $2.4999
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $339
Show 39 more outcomesHide 39 outcomes
3.2500 - $3.499910%Not listed10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)3.2500 - $3.499910%Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
3.2500 - $3.4999
10%
Not listed
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
3.2500 - $3.4999
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.2500 - $3.4999
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $614
6 or above10%Not listed10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)6 or above10%Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
6 or above
10%
Not listed
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
6 or above
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6 or above
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Above $1.6010%Not listed10%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Above $1.6010%Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above $1.60
10%
Not listed
10%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above $1.60
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.60
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
0.4999 or below9%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)0.4999 or below9%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
0.4999 or below
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
0.4999 or below
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.4999 or below
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $367
0.5000 - $0.74999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)0.5000 - $0.74999%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
0.5000 - $0.7499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
0.5000 - $0.7499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.5000 - $0.7499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $878
2.5000 - $2.74999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)2.5000 - $2.74999%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.5000 - $2.7499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.5000 - $2.7499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.5000 - $2.7499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $630
2.7500 - $2.99999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)2.7500 - $2.99999%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.7500 - $2.9999
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.7500 - $2.9999
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.7500 - $2.9999
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $108
3.0000 - $3.24999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)3.0000 - $3.24999%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.0000 - $3.2499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.0000 - $3.2499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.0000 - $3.2499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $51
4.5000 - $4.74999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)4.5000 - $4.74999%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.5000 - $4.7499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.5000 - $4.7499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.5000 - $4.7499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $9
4.7500 - $4.99999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)4.7500 - $4.99999%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.7500 - $4.9999
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.7500 - $4.9999
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.7500 - $4.9999
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $7
5.0000 - $5.24999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)5.0000 - $5.24999%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.0000 - $5.2499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.0000 - $5.2499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.0000 - $5.2499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $86
5.7500 - $5.99998%Not listed8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)5.7500 - $5.99998%Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
5.7500 - $5.9999
8%
Not listed
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
5.7500 - $5.9999
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.7500 - $5.9999
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $241
Below $1.007%Not listed7%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Below $1.007%Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Below $1.00
7%
Not listed
7%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Below $1.00
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $1.00
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $7K
Above $1.706%Not listed6%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Above $1.706%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above $1.70
6%
Not listed
6%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above $1.70
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.70
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $8K
Below $0.906%Not listed6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Below $0.906%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Below $0.90
6%
Not listed
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Below $0.90
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $0.90
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $626
Above $1.805%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above $1.805%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $1.80
5%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $1.80
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.80
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
3.5000 - $3.74994.5%Not listed4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)3.5000 - $3.74994.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.5000 - $3.7499
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.5000 - $3.7499
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.5000 - $3.7499
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
3.7500 - $3.99994.5%Not listed4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)3.7500 - $3.99994.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.7500 - $3.9999
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.7500 - $3.9999
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.7500 - $3.9999
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Above $1.904%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $1.904%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $1.90
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $1.90
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $1.90
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Above $2.004%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $2.004%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $2.00
4%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $2.00
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.00
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $10K
Above $2.104%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above $2.104%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $2.10
4%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above $2.10
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.10
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Below $0.804%Not listed4%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Below $0.804%Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Below $0.80
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Below $0.80
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $0.80
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $200
Above $2.203%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Above $2.203%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Above $2.20
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Above $2.20
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.20
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $10K
Above $2.303%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Above $2.303%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Above $2.30
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Above $2.30
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $2.30
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $15K
1.40-1.502.1%2.1%1¢ bid, 3.2¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed3.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)1.40-1.502.1%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
1.40-1.50
2.1%
2.1%
1¢ bid, 3.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
3.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
1.40-1.50
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.40-1.50
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,125 (31.3x)
- Volume
- $100
2.0000 - $2.24992%Not listed2%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)2.0000 - $2.24992%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
2.0000 - $2.2499
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
2.0000 - $2.2499
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.0000 - $2.2499
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $805
4.0000 - $4.24992%Not listed2%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)4.0000 - $4.24992%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.0000 - $4.2499
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.0000 - $4.2499
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.0000 - $4.2499
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $140
4.2500 - $4.49992%Not listed2%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)4.2500 - $4.49992%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.2500 - $4.4999
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.2500 - $4.4999
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.2500 - $4.4999
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $140
5.2500 - $5.49992%Not listed2%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)5.2500 - $5.49992%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.2500 - $5.4999
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.2500 - $5.4999
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.2500 - $5.4999
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $1
5.5000 - $5.74992%Not listed2%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)5.5000 - $5.74992%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.5000 - $5.7499
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.5000 - $5.7499
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.5000 - $5.7499
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $94
1.10-1.202%2%1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)1.10-1.202%Polymarket 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
1.10-1.20
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
1.10-1.20
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.10-1.20
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
Below $0.701%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Below $0.701%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Below $0.70
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Below $0.70
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $0.70
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
1.00-1.100.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)1.00-1.100.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.00-1.10
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.00-1.10
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.00-1.10
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $10
1.50-1.600.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)1.50-1.600.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.50-1.60
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.50-1.60
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.50-1.60
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $10
0.90-1.000.5%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)0.90-1.000.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
0.90-1.00
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
0.90-1.00
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.90-1.00
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $25
1.60-1.700.5%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)1.60-1.700.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.60-1.70
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.60-1.70
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.60-1.70
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $600
0.900.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)0.900.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
0.90
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
0.90
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.90
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $109
1.70-1.800.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)1.70-1.800.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
1.70-1.80
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
1.70-1.80
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.70-1.80
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $601
1.800.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)1.800.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
1.80
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
1.80
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.80
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $621
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 1.30-1.40
- 1.20-1.30
- 1.0000 - $1.2499
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list 1.30-1.40 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "XRP price on October 23?". 1.30-1.40 leads at 49%. Next is 1.20-1.30 at 46.7%. $110K has traded across 49 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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