2026 midterms media kit

Prices as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27. Reload for the latest. Prices older than two hours are greyed out and left out of the sentences.

• Senate controlGap 1.5 pts
  65%Democratic Party · 41 min67%Democratic Party · 41 min

  Senate control: Kalshi traders give Democratic Party a 65% chance; Polymarket traders give Democratic Party a 67% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• House controlGap 0.7 pts
  91%Democratic Party · 41 min92%Democratic Party · 41 min

  House control: Kalshi traders give Democratic Party a 91% chance; Polymarket traders give Democratic Party a 92% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• Most governorshipsGap 0.5 pts
  74%Democratic Party · 42 min75%Democratic Party · 42 min

  Most governorships: Kalshi traders give Democratic Party a 74% chance; Polymarket traders give Democratic Party a 75% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• Congress balance of powerGap 1.5 pts
  64%Democrats sweep · 41 min66%Democrats Sweep · 41 min

  Congress balance of power: Kalshi traders give Democrats sweep a 64% chance; Polymarket traders give Democrats Sweep a 66% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• Texas SenateGap 1.5 pts
  66%James Talarico · 41 min68%James Talarico (D) · 41 min

  Texas Senate: Kalshi traders give James Talarico a 66% chance; Polymarket traders give James Talarico (D) a 68% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• Michigan SenateGap 0.5 pts
  69%Abdul El-Sayed · 41 min69%Abdul El-Sayed (D) · 41 min

  Michigan Senate: Kalshi traders give Abdul El-Sayed a 69% chance; Polymarket traders give Abdul El-Sayed (D) a 69% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• Maine SenateGap 1.0 pts
  62%Troy Jackson · 41 min63%Troy Jackson (D) · 41 min

  Maine Senate: Kalshi traders give Troy Jackson a 62% chance; Polymarket traders give Troy Jackson (D) a 63% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• South Carolina SenateGap 2.5 pts
  77%Darline Graham · 41 min80%Darline Graham Nordone (R) · 41 min

  South Carolina Senate: Kalshi traders give Darline Graham a 77% chance; Polymarket traders give Darline Graham Nordone (R) a 80% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• North Carolina SenateGap 0.5 pts
  97%Roy Cooper · 41 min97%Roy Cooper (D) · 41 min

  North Carolina Senate: Kalshi traders give Roy Cooper a 97% chance; Polymarket traders give Roy Cooper (D) a 97% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• Mississippi SenateGap 1.0 pts
  88%Cindy Hyde-Smith · 41 min87%Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · 41 min

  Mississippi Senate: Kalshi traders give Cindy Hyde-Smith a 88% chance; Polymarket traders give Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) a 87% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• Texas governorGap 2.1 pts
  67%Greg Abbott · 41 min65%Greg Abbott (R) · 41 min

  Texas governor: Kalshi traders give Greg Abbott a 67% chance; Polymarket traders give Greg Abbott (R) a 65% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• Ohio governorGap 1.0 pts
  78%Amy Acton · 41 min79%Amy Acton (D) · 41 min

  Ohio governor: Kalshi traders give Amy Acton a 78% chance; Polymarket traders give Amy Acton (D) a 79% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy
• Nevada governorGap 2.0 pts
  77%Aaron Ford · 41 min79%Aaron Ford (D) · 41 min

  Nevada governor: Kalshi traders give Aaron Ford a 77% chance; Polymarket traders give Aaron Ford (D) a 79% chance. (Source: ThePredictionMarkets.com, prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, as of 4:24 p.m. ET, Oct 27.)

  Copy

Paste this code into your article or live blog for a box with Senate and House control on both venues. It refreshes every minute, shows each price’s age and greys out stale prices. Pick light or dark and a size with the Embed button.

<iframe src="https://thepredictionmarkets.com/embed/midterms" title="2026 midterms: Senate and House control on Kalshi vs Polymarket" width="520" height="360" style="border:0;width:100%;max-width:520px;" loading="lazy" data-tpm-embed></iframe>
<script async src="https://thepredictionmarkets.com/embed.js"></script>

For a single race, open it on the midterms hub or any market page and use its Embed button. Newsletters and platforms that block embeds can use the image below instead. Embeds follow our embed and data-use terms.

• Election night live: control of Congress and the key races, refreshing automatically.
• Midterms hub: every Senate, House and governor race, ratings and a state map.
• State pages, for local coverage: for example /midterms/texas or /midterms/georgia.

A live election-night card (1200 × 675, updated every 10 minutes): download the image. Every market page has its own card under “Copy image”. Please keep the timestamp visible when you publish it.

• A price is the market’s implied chance (“traders put it at 62%”), not a TPM forecast.
• When the venues differ, call it a “price gap” between Kalshi and Polymarket.
• Always give the time. Prices move fast on election night.

Full guidance is on the press page; reuse terms are under embed and data-use terms.

Email [email protected] with “Election night” in the subject. We answer the same evening, can confirm a figure or explain a gap, and can pull a custom cut of the data for your story.