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Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:1,805
Observed times shown per event
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Will Mamdani run for re-election?Yes$64 todayEnds Apr 6, 202972%
Tallahassee Mayoral ElectionLoranne Ausley$64 todayEnds Aug 18, 202766%
California 48 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 170K$63 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Oshawa mayoral election winner?Tito-Dante Marimpietri$63 todayEnds Oct 26, 202771%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?Above 5$62 todayEnds Oct 27, 202791%
Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?Bezalel Smotrich$61 todayEnds Oct 27, 202717%
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?Chuck Schumer$61 todayEnds Jan 3, 202856%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Shas win?Above 5$60 todayEnds Oct 27, 202795%
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?Mark Zuckerberg$60 todayEnds Jan 1, 202717%
How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?At least 4$59 todayEnds Jan 1, 202768%
Rhode Island Senate winner?Jack Reed$58 todayEnds Nov 3, 202799%
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$57 todayEnds Nov 7, 202943%
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?Switzerland$57 todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?Before Jan 1, 2028$57 todayEnds Jan 20, 202949%
Wyoming Governor margin of victoryBarlow, 19+ pts$57 todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Finnish general election winner?Social Democratic Party$57 todayEnds Apr 29, 202876%
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?Before 2027$56 todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?Yes$51 todayEnds Jan 1, 202711%
Florida Governor: which counties will Byron Donalds win?Sarasota$51 todayEnds Nov 3, 202792%
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percentAt least 82%$50 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
TX-34 House election: Vicente Gonzalez vote percentAt least 46%$50 todayEnds Nov 3, 202793%
New Zealand general election winner?National$50 todayEnds Dec 31, 202756%
Florida Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 5.80M$50 todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 620K$50 todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
OH-02 House election: David Taylor vote percentAt least 60%$50 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percentAt least 50%$47 todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Illinois Governor margin of victoryPritzker, 6+ pts$47 todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Who will win the governorship in Washington?Democratic party$46 todayEnds Nov 7, 202993%
When will Trump and Mamdani meet?Before Mar 1, 2027$46 todayEnds Jan 1, 202750%
How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?5 or more$45 todayEnds Dec 3158%
Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?Before Jan 1, 2027$45 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?Pete Hegseth$45 todayEnds Jan 20, 202942%
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?Government wins$44 todayEnds Jan 1, 203043%
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?Before Jan 1, 2029$44 todayEnds Jan 1, 20299%
CA-45 House election: Chuong Vo vote percentAt least 34%$44 todayEnds Nov 3, 202798%
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?Before Jul 1, 2027$44 todayEnds Jul 1, 202766%
Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)Republican$43 todayEnds Nov 7, 202952%
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)Jean-Luc MΓ©lenchon$43 todayEnds Apr 18, 202829%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceLikud$43 todayEnds Oct 27, 202769%
Illinois Governor election: JB Pritzker vote percentAt least 50%$43 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Who will run for president in 2028?Andrew Yang$43 todayEnds Nov 7, 202878%
North Carolina Senate election: Roy Cooper vote percentAt least 48%$42 todayEnds Nov 3, 202798%
Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?Gadi Eisenkot$42 todayEnds Jan 1, 204557%
When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?Before Mar 1, 2027$42 todayEnds Mar 1, 202742%
New Mexico Senate margin of victoryLujΓ‘n, 13+ pts$42 todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
Delaware Senate winner?Chris Coons$41 todayEnds Nov 3, 202798%
Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.15M$40 todayEnds Nov 3, 202784%
St. Petersburg Mayoral ElectionCharlie Crist$40 todayEnds Aug 18, 202792%
NV-04 House election: Cody Whipple vote percentAt least 36%$40 todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?Before Jan 1, 2027$39 todayEnds Feb 1, 202839%