Politics Events
Market dataExplore markets from
Kalshi&
PolymarketTotal Events:2,346Observed times shown per event
KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:2,346
Observed times shown per event
All categoriesποΈ Politicsπ Economicsβ½ SportsβΏ Cryptoπ AI / Techπ Worldπ Cultureπ Climateπ¬ Scienceπ Other
2,346 results Β· 1301β1350Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 12% | $56 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 2% | $56 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Yoon out of custody before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 5% | $56 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? ποΈ Politics | Yes 93% | $55 | in 9 days | View |
Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Aziz 15%+ 52% | $55 | in 1 day | View |
Turkish troops enter Yemen by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 5% | $55 | in 7 days | View |
 CA-10 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Mark DeSaulnier (D) 97% | $55 | in 11 days | Compare |
Fed abolished before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 2% | $55 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Will Trump resign before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 2% | $55 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Republican 10-15% 28% | $54 | in 11 days | View |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 5% | $54 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Democrat 45-50% 28% | $53 | in 11 days | View |
SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Republican 15-20% 35% | $52 | in 11 days | View |
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Democrat 25-30% 27% | $52 | in 11 days | View |
OK-02 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Josh Brecheen (R) 98% | $52 | in 11 days | Compare |
Defence 78% | $52 | in 4 days | View | |
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 76% | $51 | in 7 days | View |
VA-06 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Ben Cline (R) 93% | $51 | in 11 days | View |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 1% | $50 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Pappas 6-9% 20% | $50 | in 11 days | View |
Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Aliyu Wadada Ahmed 72% | $50 | Feb 7, 2027 | View |
NZ Election: National Party # of seats? ποΈ Politics | 35-39 36% | $50 | Nov 8 | View |
Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Uba Sani 64% | $50 | Feb 7, 2027 | View |
MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Democrat 45-50% 23% | $50 | in 11 days | View |
AZ-03 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Yassamin Ansari (D) 99% | $50 | in 11 days | View |
Tim Walz in jail by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31, 2026 1% | $50 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
TX-33 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Colin Allred (D) 96% | $50 | in 11 days | Compare |
NC-10 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Pat Harrigan (R) 95% | $50 | in 11 days | Compare |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 7% | $50 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
IL-15 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Mary Miller (R) 96% | $50 | in 11 days | Compare |
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 7% | $50 | in 7 days | View |
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? ποΈ Politics | Yes 3% | $50 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 68% | $50 | Apr 1, 2027 | View |
Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? ποΈ Politics | No HR in 2026 51% | $50 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
NV-01 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Dina Titus (D) 96% | $50 | in 11 days | Compare |
OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Republican 20-25% 32% | $50 | in 11 days | View |
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Ruas 5-10% 4% | $49 | in 1 day | View |
Which party will win white voters in the midterms? ποΈ Politics | Republicans 95% | $49 | in 14 days | View |
CA-04 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Democratic Party 100% | $49 | in 11 days | Compare |
OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Democrat 15-20% 28% | $48 | in 11 days | View |
NC-13 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Brad Knott (R) 79% | $48 | in 11 days | Compare |
Texas Attorney General Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Mayes Middleton (R) 76% | $47 | in 10 days | View |
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026? ποΈ Politics | Yes 8% | $47 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Republican 35-40% 28% | $46 | in 11 days | View |
WI-06 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Glenn Grothman (R) 92% | $45 | in 11 days | Compare |
MA-02 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Jim McGovern (D) 97% | $45 | in 11 days | Compare |
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 9% | $45 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Democrat 15-20% 33% | $45 | in 11 days | View |
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada? ποΈ Politics | 3 66% | $45 | in 11 days | View |
ErdoΔan out by end of 2026? ποΈ Politics | December 31, 2027 21% | $45 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?December 31$56 todayEnds Jan 1, 202712%
- Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?Yes$56 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?Yes$56 todayEnds Jan 1, 20275%
- Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?Yes$55 todayEnds in 9 days93%
- Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryAziz 15%+$55 todayEnds in 1 day52%
- Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?December 31$55 todayEnds in 7 days5%
- CA-10 House Election WinnerMark DeSaulnier (D)$55 todayEnds in 11 days97%
- Fed abolished before 2027?Yes$55 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
- Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes$55 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
- PA-16 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%$54 todayEnds in 11 days28%
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes$54 todayEnds Jan 1, 20275%
- PA-02 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 45-50%$53 todayEnds in 11 days28%
- SC-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%$52 todayEnds in 11 days35%
- TX-16 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%$52 todayEnds in 11 days27%
- OK-02 House Election WinnerJosh Brecheen (R)$52 todayEnds in 11 days98%
- What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Defence$52 todayEnds in 4 days78%
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?December 31$51 todayEnds in 7 days76%
- VA-06 House Election WinnerBen Cline (R)$51 todayEnds in 11 days93%
- Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Yes$50 todayEnds Jan 1, 20271%
- New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of VictoryPappas 6-9%$50 todayEnds in 11 days20%
- Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerAliyu Wadada Ahmed$50 todayEnds Feb 7, 202772%
- NZ Election: National Party # of seats?35-39$50 todayEnds Nov 836%
- Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerUba Sani$50 todayEnds Feb 7, 202764%
- MN-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 45-50%$50 todayEnds in 11 days23%
- AZ-03 House Election WinnerYassamin Ansari (D)$50 todayEnds in 11 days99%
- Tim Walz in jail by...?December 31, 2026$50 todayEnds Jan 1, 20271%
- TX-33 House Election WinnerColin Allred (D)$50 todayEnds in 11 days96%
- NC-10 House Election WinnerPat Harrigan (R)$50 todayEnds in 11 days95%
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes$50 todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
- IL-15 House Election WinnerMary Miller (R)$50 todayEnds in 11 days96%
- Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?December 31$50 todayEnds in 7 days7%
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes$50 todayEnds Jan 1, 20273%
- Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Yes$50 todayEnds Apr 1, 202768%
- Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?No HR in 2026$50 todayEnds Jan 1, 202751%
- NV-01 House Election WinnerDina Titus (D)$50 todayEnds in 11 days96%
- OH-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 20-25%$50 todayEnds in 11 days32%
- Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryRuas 5-10%$49 todayEnds in 1 day4%
- Which party will win white voters in the midterms?Republicans$49 todayEnds in 14 days95%
- CA-04 House Election WinnerDemocratic Party$49 todayEnds in 11 days100%
- OH-13 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%$48 todayEnds in 11 days28%
- NC-13 House Election WinnerBrad Knott (R)$48 todayEnds in 11 days79%
- Texas Attorney General Election WinnerMayes Middleton (R)$47 todayEnds in 10 days76%
- Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?Yes$47 todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%
- IL-12 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 35-40%$46 todayEnds in 11 days28%
- WI-06 House Election WinnerGlenn Grothman (R)$45 todayEnds in 11 days92%
- MA-02 House Election WinnerJim McGovern (D)$45 todayEnds in 11 days97%
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?December 31$45 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
- NV-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%$45 todayEnds in 11 days33%
- How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?3$45 todayEnds in 11 days66%
- ErdoΔan out by end of 2026?December 31, 2027$45 todayEnds Jan 1, 202721%