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PolymarketTotal Events:3,550
Observed times shown per event
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NY-19 House Election WinnerJosh Riley (D)Ends in 11 days96%
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?YesEnds in 11 days10%
Alaska Senate election: number of rounds3Ends Feb 1, 202743%
TX-10 House election: Chris Gober vote percentAt least 50%Ends Nov 3, 202788%
Will women get a bigger share of NCAA settlement back pay?Before Jan 1, 2030Ends Jan 1, 203027%
Maine State Senate winner?Democratic partyEnds Nov 3, 202793%
IN-01 House Election WinnerFrank Mrvan (D)Ends in 11 days96%
Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power?Before Jan 1, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202773%
SC-04 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%Ends in 11 days34%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?Before Nov 1, 2026Ends in 9 days1%
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?New HampshireEnds Apr 1, 202887%
NE-03 House election: Becky Stille vote percentAt least 18%Ends Nov 3, 202793%
MD-06 House election: Moshe Landman vote percentAt least 1%Ends Nov 3, 202779%
NC-05 House election: Virginia Foxx vote percentAt least 50%Ends Nov 3, 202788%
NY-08 House Election WinnerHakeem Jeffries (D)Ends in 11 days97%
Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026?At least 1Ends in 8 days1%
Chud the Builder convicted?YesEnds Aug 1, 202747%
Wisconsin Governor election: David Crowley vote percentAt least 46%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
KY-03 House Election WinnerMorgan McGarvey (D)Ends in 11 days97%
Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?In 2026Ends Jan 1, 202710%
ME-01 House election: Chellie Pingree vote percent (1st Round)At least 58%Ends Nov 3, 202794%
OR-05 House Election WinnerJanelle Bynum (D)Ends in 11 days96%
Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?YesEnds Jan 1, 202876%
MI-11 House election: Jeremy Moss vote percentAt least 54%Ends Nov 3, 202793%
California 29 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 87KEnds Nov 3, 202789%
NY-07 House election: Claire Valdez vote percentAt least 70%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?Coalition including ODMEnds Aug 30, 202854%
CA-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 10-15%Ends in 10 days47%
Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?Before Jan 1, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202712%
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerAbimbola AdekanmbiEnds Feb 7, 202759%
TX-20 House election: Joaquin Castro vote percentAt least 62%Ends Nov 3, 202794%
Pennsylvania 01 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 260KEnds Nov 3, 202797%
MO-06 House election: Chris Stigall vote percentAt least 52%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
Florida 10 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 240KEnds Nov 3, 20278%
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?PANEnds Jun 7, 202773%
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percentAt least 24%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
OH-06 House Election WinnerMichael Rulli (R)Ends in 11 days97%
GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Republican 25-30%Ends in 11 days25%
MD-07 House election: Scott Collier vote percentAt least 10%Ends Nov 3, 202794%
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?Before 2029Ends Jan 21, 202910%
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20272%
LA-03 House election: Caleb Walker vote percent (1st Round)At least 4%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
CA-10 House Election WinnerMark DeSaulnier (D)Ends in 11 days97%
How low will gas prices in New York get this year?Below $2.90Ends Dec 316%
HI-01 House election: Adriel Lam vote percentAt least 20%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
McDonaldβs in Cuba announced in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20275%
CA-03 House election: Robb Tucker vote percentAt least 32%Ends Nov 3, 202792%
OH-02 House Election WinnerDavid Taylor (R)Ends in 11 days98%
South Carolina Governor election: Alan Wilson vote percentAt least 46%Ends Nov 3, 202798%
PA-12 House election: James Hayes vote percentAt least 30%Ends Nov 3, 202793%