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PolymarketTotal Events:494
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| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? π Ai_tech | Before Apr 1, 2027 93% | $233K | Apr 1, 2027 | Compare |
Google market share this week π Ai_tech | Above 16.6% 94% | $175K | in 3 days | Compare |
Google 89% | $116K | in 9 days | Compare | |
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? π Ai_tech | Anthropic 47% | $116K | Dec 31 | Compare |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 95% | $93K | in 3h | View |
Largest Company end of October 2026? π Ai_tech | NVIDIA 71% | $64K | in 9 days | View |
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 23% | $49K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Best AI at the end of 2026? π Ai_tech | Claude 49% | $49K | Dec 31 | View |
Best AI in Oct 2026? π Ai_tech | Gemini 88% | $41K | in 9 days | View |
December 31, 2027 67% | $31K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
How many launches will SpaceX have in October? π Ai_tech | Above 6 99% | $30K | in 10 days | Compare |
DeepSeek 27% | $28K | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...? π Ai_tech | No release by October 31 57% | $27K | in 3h | View |
Anthropic market share this week π Ai_tech | Above 4.8% 99% | $27K | in 3 days | Compare |
OpenAI market share this week π Ai_tech | Above 16.5% 99% | $25K | in 3 days | Compare |
OpenAI IPO by...? π Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 34% | $23K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Google 59% | $23K | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Above 18.5% 99% | $20K | in 3h | View | |
1400+ 98% | $20K | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
0 81% | $18K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) π Ai_tech | Above 13.1% 99% | $18K | in 3h | View |
Above 30.6% 99% | $18K | in 3h | View | |
Above 5.7% 99% | $17K | in 3h | View | |
Above 11.1% 99% | $17K | in 3h | View | |
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...? π Ai_tech | November 30 88% | $17K | in 1 day | Compare |
Best AI this week π Ai_tech | Gemini 93% | $16K | in 4 days | View |
Above 5.0% 99% | $14K | in 3h | View | |
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut? π Ai_tech | 55%+ 92% | $12K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 560 97% | $12K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
December 31, 2027 52% | $12K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? π Ai_tech | $1.50β$1.75T 43% | $12K | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare |
Best Chinese AI Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Xiaomi 70% | $10K | in 9 days | Compare |
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap π Ai_tech | 1.5T+ 43% | $10K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
October 31 100% | $10K | in 9 days | View | |
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 225 million 92% | $7K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Yes 18% | $7K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...? π Ai_tech | October 27 23% | $7K | in 1 day | View |
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) π Ai_tech | Anthropic 73% | $7K | in 9 days | View |
Meta 40% | $6K | in 9 days | View | |
3rd Largest Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Alphabet 62% | $6K | in 9 days | View |
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? π Ai_tech | Before Jan 1, 2027 30% | $6K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 84% | $6K | in 23h | View |
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026? π Ai_tech | Alphabet 44% | $5K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap π Ai_tech | 1.8T+ 56% | $5K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap π Ai_tech | No IPO by December 31, 2026 96% | $5K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? π Ai_tech | November 9βNovember 15 19% | $5K | in 4 days | View |
AI bubble burst by...? π Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 21% | $5K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) π Ai_tech | Meta 58% | $5K | in 9 days | View |
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Moonshot 50% | $5K | in 9 days | View |
CATL 20% | $4K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 2027$233K todayEnds Apr 1, 202793%
Google market share this weekAbove 16.6%$175K todayEnds in 3 days94%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Google$116K todayEnds in 9 days89%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Anthropic$116K todayEnds Dec 3147%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?December 31$93K todayEnds in 3h95%
Largest Company end of October 2026?NVIDIA$64K todayEnds in 9 days71%
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$49K todayEnds Jan 1, 202823%
Best AI at the end of 2026?Claude$49K todayEnds Dec 3149%
Best AI in Oct 2026?Gemini$41K todayEnds in 9 days88%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?December 31, 2027$31K todayEnds Jan 1, 202767%
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?Above 6$30K todayEnds in 10 days99%
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?DeepSeek$28K todayEnds Jul 1, 202727%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?No release by October 31$27K todayEnds in 3h57%
Anthropic market share this weekAbove 4.8%$27K todayEnds in 3 days99%
OpenAI market share this weekAbove 16.5%$25K todayEnds in 3 days99%
OpenAI IPO by...?June 30, 2027$23K todayEnds Jan 1, 202734%
Which company has the best AI model end of November?Google$23K todayEnds Dec 159%
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 18.5%$20K todayEnds in 3h99%
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?1400+$20K todayEnds Jul 1, 202798%
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?0$18K todayEnds Jan 1, 202781%
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 13.1%$18K todayEnds in 3h99%
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 30.6%$18K todayEnds in 3h99%
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 5.7%$17K todayEnds in 3h99%
Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 11.1%$17K todayEnds in 3h99%
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?November 30$17K todayEnds in 1 day88%
Best AI this weekGemini$16K todayEnds in 4 days93%
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 5.0%$14K todayEnds in 3h99%
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?55%+$12K todayEnds Jul 1, 202792%
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026Above 560$12K todayEnds Mar 31, 202897%
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027$12K todayEnds Jan 1, 202752%
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?$1.50β$1.75T$12K todayEnds Jan 1, 202843%
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Xiaomi$10K todayEnds in 9 days70%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+$10K todayEnds Jan 1, 202843%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?October 31$10K todayEnds in 9 days100%
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026Above 225 million$7K todayEnds Mar 31, 202892%
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes$7K todayEnds Jan 1, 202718%
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?October 27$7K todayEnds in 1 day23%
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)Anthropic$7K todayEnds in 9 days73%
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Meta$6K todayEnds in 9 days40%
3rd Largest Company end of October?Alphabet$6K todayEnds in 9 days62%
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?Before Jan 1, 2027$6K todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?December 31$6K todayEnds in 23h84%
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Alphabet$5K todayEnds Jan 1, 202744%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap1.8T+$5K todayEnds Jan 1, 202856%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO by December 31, 2026$5K todayEnds Jan 1, 202796%
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?November 9βNovember 15$5K todayEnds in 4 days19%
AI bubble burst by...?June 30, 2027$5K todayEnds Jan 1, 202721%
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)Meta$5K todayEnds in 9 days58%
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Moonshot$5K todayEnds in 9 days50%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CATL$4K todayEnds Jul 1, 202720%