Current Status
Live
Leading Outcome
Above 20bps 96.0%
V2 BetaOptimized UI
Trade NowLive marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (2mo)Updated 1d ago
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026
Live prediction market odds for "10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026". Above 20bps is leading at 96.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 10bps at 95.0%. Total volume is $7K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Above 20bps
96.0%
Total Vol
$7K
Across 1 venues
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
Arb opportunity
Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 20bps
$266 volume
96.0%
—
Above 10bps
$76 volume
95.0%
—
Above 0bps
$224 volume
92.0%
—
Above 30bps
$326 volume
89.0%
—
Above 40bps
$2K volume
60.0%
—
Above 50bps
$567 volume
39.0%
—
Above 60bps
$344 volume
25.0%
—
Above 70bps
$2K volume
20.0%
—
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026". Above 20bps is leading at 96.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 10bps at 95.0%. Total volume is $7K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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