Home›🏛️Politics›Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Leading Outcome
Tarcisio de Freitas 0.1%
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Live marketEnds Oct 4, 2026 (Ended)Updated 3d ago
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place". Tarcisio de Freitas is leading at 0.1%. The next most likely outcome is Jair Bolsonaro at 0.1%. Total volume is $10.9M across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 4, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Tarcisio de Freitas
0.1%
Total Vol
$10.9M
Across 1 venues
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
Arb opportunity

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Tarcisio de Freitas
$275K volume
0.1%
—
Jair Bolsonaro
$205K volume
0.1%
—
Fernando Haddad
$814K volume
0.1%
—
Romeu Zema
$422K volume
0.1%
—
Camilo Santana
$208K volume
0.1%
—
Geraldo Alckmin
$234K volume
0.1%
—
Person K
$37K volume
0.1%
—
Flávio Bolsonaro
$2.7M volume
0.1%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place". Tarcisio de Freitas is leading at 0.1%. The next most likely outcome is Jair Bolsonaro at 0.1%. Total volume is $10.9M across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 4, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Oct 4, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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