Home🏛️PoliticsBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Live marketEnds Oct 4, 2026 (6mo)Updated 11m ago

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place". Flávio Bolsonaro is leading at 63.0%. The next most likely outcome is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 16.5%. Total volume is $2.8M across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 4, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Flávio Bolsonaro
63.0%
Total Vol
$2.8M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Flávio Bolsonaro
$23K volume
63.0%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$26K volume
16.5%
Fernando Haddad
$626K volume
9.0%
Renan Santos
$957K volume
5.1%
Romeu Zema
$118K volume
2.5%
Ronaldo Caiado
$180K volume
1.8%
Camilo Santana
$19K volume
0.9%
Ratinho Júnior
$594K volume
0.8%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place". Flávio Bolsonaro is leading at 63.0%. The next most likely outcome is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 16.5%. Total volume is $2.8M across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 4, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Oct 4, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2298h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2298h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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