Home🏛️PoliticsBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Live marketEnds Oct 4, 2026 (6mo)Updated 11m ago

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place". Renan Santos is leading at 35.5%. The next most likely outcome is Ronaldo Caiado at 31.5%. Total volume is $169K across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 4, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Renan Santos
35.5%
Total Vol
$169K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Renan Santos
$22K volume
35.5%
Ronaldo Caiado
$7K volume
31.5%
Romeu Zema
$3K volume
11.0%
Fernando Haddad
$12K volume
5.9%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$2K volume
4.9%
Ratinho Júnior
$90K volume
4.2%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$2K volume
2.0%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$2K volume
1.5%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place". Renan Santos is leading at 35.5%. The next most likely outcome is Ronaldo Caiado at 31.5%. Total volume is $169K across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 4, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Oct 4, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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