Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Jamie Davis Jr.
$14K volume
66.0%
—
Nick Albares
$100 volume
20.0%
—
Gary Crockett
Volume n/a
10.3%
—
Tracie Burke
$6K volume
3.4%
—
Jabarie Walker
$17K volume
0.4%
—
Live marketEnds May 16, 2026 (1mo)Updated 11m ago
Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Jamie Davis Jr. is leading at 66.0%. The next most likely outcome is Nick Albares at 20.0%. Total volume is $37K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 16, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Jamie Davis Jr.
66.0%
Total Vol
$37K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Jamie Davis Jr. is leading at 66.0%. The next most likely outcome is Nick Albares at 20.0%. Total volume is $37K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 16, 2026.
Expected resolution date: May 16, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
56%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.083 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
392h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
392h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Louisiana Senate Race Gets Messy But Traders Signal Safe GOP Hold - defirate.com
defirate.com·2d ago·neutral
Six Senate Races to Watch as Democrats Grow More Bullish
Bing News·2d ago·bullish
Louisiana closed primary system raises voter questions ahead of May 16 election
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Sec. of State encourages voters to check party registration as closed primaries near
Bing News·5d ago·neutral
Louisiana Democratic Party endorses candidates ahead of May 16 election
Bing News·14d ago·neutral
Related Politics Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Lead 24.1% · Gavin Newsom
Vol $985.6M
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Lead 49.0% · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd)
Vol $522.3M
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Lead 17.6% · JD Vance
Vol $492.6M
2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Lead 28.7% · Gavin Newsom
Vol $81.3M
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Lead 69.0% · TISZA
Vol $57.4M
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Lead 65.5% · Péter Magyar
Vol $47.3M