Current Status
Live
Leading Outcome
PQ 100.0%
V2 BetaOptimized UI
Trade NowLive marketEnds Oct 5, 2026 (Ended)Updated 1d ago
Quebec General Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Quebec General Election Winner". PQ is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Conservative Party of Québec at 99.0%. Total volume is $1.3M across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket, Kalshi, Kalshi, Kalshi. Expected resolution by Oct 5, 2026.
Leading Outcome
PQ
100.0%
Total Vol
$1.3M
Across 4 venues
Platforms
4
2 comparable
Best Spread
9795 bps
Arb opportunity
Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
PQ
$272K volume
100.0%
—
Conservative Party of Québec
$15K volume
99.0%
—
CAQ
$3K volume
98.0%
9795 bps
stale quote
Quebec Liberal Party
$13K volume
97.0%
—
Parti Québécois
$16K volume
5.0%
—
Québec solidaire
$7K volume
1.0%
—
PLQ
$189K volume
0.1%
—
PCQ
$296K volume
0.1%
—
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Quebec General Election Winner". PQ is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Conservative Party of Québec at 99.0%. Total volume is $1.3M across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket, Kalshi, Kalshi, Kalshi. Expected resolution by Oct 5, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Oct 5, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
Outcome Leaderboards by Platform
Polymarket
PQ
100.0%
PLQ
0.1%
PCQ
0.1%
CAQ
0.1%
Kalshi
Quebec Liberal Party
97.0%
Parti Québécois
5.0%
Conservative Party of Québec
2.0%
CAQ
1.0%
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