Current Status
Live
Leading Outcome
Yes 15.5%
V2 BetaOptimized UI
Trade NowLive marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (2mo)Updated 19h ago
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Yes is leading at 15.5%. Total volume is $72.6M across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Yes
15.5%
Total Vol
$72.6M
Across 1 venues
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
Arb opportunity
Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yes
$72.6M volume
15.5%
—
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Yes is leading at 15.5%. Total volume is $72.6M across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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