Arizona Governor
Safe D
Kalshi
- Katie Hobbs92%
- Andy Biggs9%
Polymarket
- Katie Hobbs93%
- Andy Biggs7%
Venue gap 0.6 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Arizona
Arizona 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Arizona's 2026 races — governor and 9 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Arizona House races
Every Arizona district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ-01 | Likely D | Amish Shah85% | Amish Shah84% | 1.0 pts | Odds → |
| AZ-02 | Lean R | Eli Crane65% | Eli Crane65% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| AZ-03 | Safe D | Not listed | Yassamin Ansari99% | — | Odds → |
| AZ-04 | Safe D | Greg Stanton95% | Greg Stanton97% | 1.2 pts | Odds → |
| AZ-05 | Likely R | Mark Lamb90% | Mark Lamb90% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| AZ-06 | Likely D | JoAnna Mendoza90% | JoAnna Mendoza89% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
| AZ-07 | Safe D | Adelita Grijalva96% | Adelita Grijalva96% | 0.3 pts | Odds → |
| AZ-08 | Likely R | Abe Hamadeh88% | Abraham Hamadeh89% | — | Odds → |
| AZ-09 | Safe R | Paul Gosar94% | Paul Gosar95% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
Arizona midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
- Katie Hobbs (Democrat) is favoured to win the Arizona governor race, at 92% on Kalshi and 93% on Polymarket.
- Which Arizona House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate AZ-02 as toss-up or lean races.