Arkansas Senate
Safe R
Kalshi
- Tom Cotton97%
- Hallie Shoffner4%
Polymarket
- Tom Cotton95%
- Hallie Shoffner5%
Venue gap 1.3 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Arkansas
Arkansas 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Arkansas's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 4 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Arkansas Governor
Safe RKalshi
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders97%
- Fred Love3%
Polymarket
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders97%
- Fredrick Love3%
Venue gap 0.3 ptsCompare odds →
Arkansas House races
Every Arkansas district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AR-01 | Safe R | Rick Crawford97% | Rick Crawford98% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
| AR-02 | Likely R | French Hill82% | French Hill80% | 2.0 pts | Odds → |
| AR-03 | Safe R | Steve Womack97% | Steve Womack95% | 2.3 pts | Odds → |
| AR-04 | Safe R | Bruce Westerman98% | Bruce Westerman97% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
Arkansas midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
- Tom Cotton (Republican) is favoured to win the Arkansas Senate race, at 97% on Kalshi and 95% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders (Republican) is favoured to win the Arkansas governor race, at 97% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.
- Which Arkansas House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Arkansas House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.