The Prediction Markets

2026 midterms · Illinois

Illinois 2026 Election Odds

Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Illinois's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 17 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Illinois Senate

Safe D

Kalshi

  • Juliana Stratton99%
  • Don Tracy2%

Polymarket

  • Juliana Stratton98%
  • Don Tracy2%
Venue gap 0.6 ptsCompare odds →

Illinois Governor

Safe D

Kalshi

  • JB Pritzker97%
  • Darren Bailey4%

Polymarket

  • JB Pritzker97%
  • Darren Bailey3%
Venue gap 0.3 ptsCompare odds →

Illinois House races

Every Illinois district with a market on either venue.

Illinois House races
DistrictRatingGapLink
IL-01Safe D1.1 ptsOdds →
IL-02Safe D0.9 ptsOdds →
IL-03Safe D1.8 ptsOdds →
IL-04Safe D3.2 ptsOdds →
IL-05Safe D1.0 ptsOdds →
IL-06Safe D—Odds →
IL-07Safe D—Odds →
IL-08Safe D0.8 ptsOdds →
IL-09Safe D0.3 ptsOdds →
IL-10Safe D0.7 ptsOdds →
IL-11Safe D1.9 ptsOdds →
IL-12Safe R1.6 ptsOdds →
IL-13Safe D1.9 ptsOdds →
IL-14Safe D1.1 ptsOdds →
IL-15Safe R2.2 ptsOdds →
IL-16Safe R0.6 ptsOdds →
IL-17Safe D2.7 ptsOdds →

Illinois midterms: common questions

Who will win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
Juliana Stratton (Democrat) is favoured to win the Illinois Senate race, at 99% on Kalshi and 98% on Polymarket.
Who will win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
JB Pritzker (Democrat) is favoured to win the Illinois governor race, at 97% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.
Which Illinois House races are competitive in 2026?
Prediction markets don't rate any Illinois House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.