2026 midterms · Indiana
Indiana 2026 Election Odds
Live 
Kalshi and 
Polymarket odds for Indiana's 2026 races and 9 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Indiana has no Senate or governor race with a market in 2026.
Indiana House races
Every Indiana district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN-01 | Safe D | Frank Mrvan98% | Frank Mrvan96% | 1.9 pts | Odds → |
| IN-02 | Safe R | Rudy Yakym98% | Rudy Yakym97% | 1.4 pts | Odds → |
| IN-03 | Safe R | Marlin Stutzman97% | Marlin Stutzman95% | 1.9 pts | Odds → |
| IN-04 | Safe R | Jim Baird95% | Jim Baird95% | 0.6 pts | Odds → |
| IN-05 | Likely R | Victoria Spartz87% | Victoria Spartz85% | 2.5 pts | Odds → |
| IN-06 | Safe R | Jefferson Shreve98% | Jefferson Shreve96% | 1.7 pts | Odds → |
| IN-07 | Safe D | André Carson98% | André Carson99% | 0.6 pts | Odds → |
| IN-08 | Safe R | Mark Messmer96% | Mark Messmer96% | 0.1 pts | Odds → |
| IN-09 | Safe R | Erin Houchin98% | Erin Houchin98% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
Indiana midterms: common questions
- Which Indiana House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Indiana House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.