Iowa Senate
Toss-up
Kalshi
- Ashley Hinson59%
- Josh Turek43%
Polymarket
- Ashley Hinson57%
- Josh Turek44%
Venue gap 2.0 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Iowa
Iowa 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Iowa's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 4 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Iowa Governor
FlipLikely DKalshi
- Rob Sand86%
- Zach Lahn14%
Polymarket
- Rob Sand89%
- Zach Lahn12%
Venue gap 2.0 ptsCompare odds →
Iowa House races
Every Iowa district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IA-01 | Safe D | Christina Bohannan92% | Christina Bohannan93% | 0.7 pts | Odds → |
| IA-02 | Lean D | Lindsay James63% | Lindsay James63% | 0.0 pts | Odds → |
| IA-03 | Likely D | Sarah Trone Garriott82% | Sarah Trone Garriott82% | 0.0 pts | Odds → |
| IA-04 | Safe R | Chris McGowan97% | Chris McGowan96% | 1.1 pts | Odds → |
Iowa midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
- Ashley Hinson (Republican) is favoured to win the Iowa Senate race, at 59% on Kalshi and 57% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
- Rob Sand (Democrat) is favoured to win the Iowa governor race, at 86% on Kalshi and 88% on Polymarket.
- Which Iowa House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate IA-02 as toss-up or lean races.