2026 midterms · Massachusetts
Massachusetts 2026 Election Odds
Live
Kalshi and
Polymarket odds for Massachusetts's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 9 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Massachusetts Senate
Safe D
Kalshi
- Ed Markey98%
- John Deaton2%
Polymarket
- Ed Markey98%
- John Deaton1%
Venue gap 0.1 ptsCompare odds → Massachusetts Governor
Safe D
Kalshi
- Maura Healey96%
- Mike Minogue4%
Polymarket
- Maura Healey96%
- Michael Minogue4%
Venue gap 0.2 ptsCompare odds → Massachusetts House races
Every Massachusetts district with a market on either venue.
Massachusetts House races| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|
| MA-01 | Safe D | Richard Neal96% | Richard Neal97% | 1.0 pts | Odds → |
|---|
| MA-02 | Safe D | Jim McGovern98% | Jim McGovern96% | 1.7 pts | Odds → |
|---|
| MA-03 | Safe D | Lori Trahan97% | Lori Trahan97% | 0.0 pts | Odds → |
|---|
| MA-04 | Safe D | Jake Auchincloss96% | Jake Auchincloss97% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
|---|
| MA-05 | Safe D | Katherine Clark97% | Katherine Clark97% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
|---|
| MA-06 | Safe D | Dan Koh97% | Dan Koh97% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
|---|
| MA-07 | Safe D | Not listed | Ayanna Pressley98% | — | Odds → |
|---|
| MA-08 | Safe D | Not listed | Stephen Lynch97% | — | Odds → |
|---|
| MA-09 | Safe D | Not listed | Bill Keating97% | — | Odds → |
|---|
Massachusetts midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
- Ed Markey (Democrat) is favoured to win the Massachusetts Senate race, at 98% on Kalshi and 98% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
- Maura Healey (Democrat) is favoured to win the Massachusetts governor race, at 96% on Kalshi and 96% on Polymarket.
- Which Massachusetts House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Massachusetts House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.