Tennessee Senate
Safe R
Kalshi
- Bill Hagerty96%
- Marquita Bradshaw4%
Polymarket
- Bill Hagerty96%
- Marquita Bradshaw4%
Venue gap 0.0 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Tennessee
Tennessee 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Tennessee's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 9 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Tennessee Governor
Safe RKalshi
- Marsha Blackburn94%
- Jerri Green6%
Polymarket
- Marsha Blackburn94%
- Jerri Green5%
Venue gap 0.6 ptsCompare odds →
Tennessee House races
Every Tennessee district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TN-01 | Safe R | Diana Harshbarger98% | Diana Harshbarger98% | 0.1 pts | Odds → |
| TN-02 | Safe R | Tim Burchett96% | Tim Burchett96% | 0.3 pts | Odds → |
| TN-03 | Safe R | Chuck Fleischmann96% | Chuck Fleischmann96% | 0.7 pts | Odds → |
| TN-04 | Safe R | Scott DesJarlais98% | Scott DesJarlais97% | 1.1 pts | Odds → |
| TN-05 | Safe R | Charlie Hatcher92% | Charlie Hatcher92% | 0.1 pts | Odds → |
| TN-06 | Safe R | Johnny Garrett97% | Johnny Garrett95% | 1.8 pts | Odds → |
| TN-07 | Safe R | Matt Van Epps97% | Matt Van Epps97% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| TN-08 | Safe R | David Kustoff96% | David Kustoff97% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
| TN-09 | Likely R | Brent Taylor86% | Brent Taylor85% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
Tennessee midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
- Bill Hagerty (Republican) is favoured to win the Tennessee Senate race, at 96% on Kalshi and 96% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
- Marsha Blackburn (Republican) is favoured to win the Tennessee governor race, at 94% on Kalshi and 94% on Polymarket.
- Which Tennessee House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Tennessee House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.