The Prediction Markets

Alaska gas prices tomorrow

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 4 hours
Traded
$12K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 4.8450 99%

Next is Above 4.8550 at 94%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 4.8450
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8450
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8550
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8550
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8600
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8600
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8500
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8500
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8650
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8650
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8700
51.5%
Kalshi 51.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8700
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8750
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8750
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8800
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8800
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8850
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8850
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8900
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8900
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Above 4.8950
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8950
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.9000
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.9000
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.9050
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.9050
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.9100
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.9100
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.9150
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.9150
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.9200
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.9200
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.9250
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.9250
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 4.8450
  • Above 4.8550
  • Above 4.8600

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Alaska gas prices tomorrow". Above 4.8450 leads at 99%. Next is Above 4.8550 at 94%. $12K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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