The Prediction Markets

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

Closed
Oct 5, 2026
Traded
$28K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
86%
Polymarket 95.8%(86% fair)polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 98.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
Last price
95.8%
Fair, margin removed
86%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
98.2¢
Sell Yes
93.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
6.3%
Polymarket 7.1%(6.3% fair)polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 14.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $709 (7.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
Last price
7.1%
Fair, margin removed
6.3%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
14.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$709 (7.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
2.7%
Polymarket 3%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$509
Trade this on Polymarket
Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
1.9%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$497
Trade this on Polymarket
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
1.4%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
0.8%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$560
Trade this on Polymarket
Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$348
Trade this on Polymarket
Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Polymarket
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$637
Trade this on Polymarket
Isidro Flores Sosa
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isidro Flores Sosa
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$719
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$409
Trade this on Polymarket
Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$599
Trade this on Polymarket
José Miguel Briones Silva
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
José Miguel Briones Silva
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$602
Trade this on Polymarket
Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Polymarket
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$525
Trade this on Polymarket
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Polymarket
Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$581
Trade this on Polymarket
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$555
Trade this on Polymarket
Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 88 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$353
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: jne.gob.pe

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
  • Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
  • Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner". Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes last traded at 86%. Next is Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy at 6.3%. $28K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Oct 4, 2026.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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