The Prediction Markets

Banská Bystrica Mayoral Election Winner

Closes
Oct 25, 2026, in 1 day
Traded
$11K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Diana Javorčíková 64.2%

Next is Ján Nosko at 35.4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Diana Javorčíková 64.2%Ján Nosko 35.4%Tomáš Sobota 0.3%Matúš Molitoris 0.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Diana Javorčíková
64.2%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
Diana Javorčíková
Last price
64.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ján Nosko
35.4%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ján Nosko
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tomáš Sobota
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tomáš Sobota
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$873
Trade this on Polymarket
Matúš Molitoris
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matúš Molitoris
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$919
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: volby.statistics.sk

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Diana Javorčíková
  • Ján Nosko
  • Tomáš Sobota

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 4 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Banská Bystrica Mayoral Election Winner". Diana Javorčíková leads at 64.2%. Next is Ján Nosko at 35.4%. $11K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

The 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Banská Bystrica as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Banská Bystrica, Banská Bystrica Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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