The Prediction Markets

Big Game: National Anthem Time

Closes
Feb 15, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
5 min ago
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What the markets expect

110-120s 33%

Next is 100-110s at 32%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
110-120s
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
110-120s
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Polymarket
100-110s
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
100-110s
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
120-130s
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
120-130s
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Trade this on Polymarket
150s
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
150s
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
80s
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
80s
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Polymarket
90-100s
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
90-100s
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
130-140s
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
130-140s
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$422
Trade this on Polymarket
140-150s
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
140-150s
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
80-90s
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
80-90s
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 110-120s
  • 100-110s
  • 120-130s

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Big Game: National Anthem Time". 110-120s leads at 33%. Next is 100-110s at 32%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the length of the national anthem performance at Super Bowl LXI. The length will be measured from the start of when the primary singer begins audibly singing until the moment they finish singing the word “brave,” for the last time no matter how long they hold that note. Music and background vocals will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Super Bowl LXI is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no national anthem performance within that timeframe, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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