The Prediction Markets

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo

Starts in 8 hKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo 76.5%

Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo at 71%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
76.5%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
71%
Polymarket 71%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.5
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.5
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

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Depth · top 8 levels

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo". BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo leads at 76.5%. Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo at 71%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Alejandro Tabilo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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