The Prediction Markets

Champions League Quarterfinals Qualifiers

Closes
Apr 1, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$71K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 d ago
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What the markets expect

Paris Saint-Germain 81.8%

Next is Barcelona at 80.8%. The venues differ most on Fenerbahçe (Polymarket 3.2%, Kalshi 11%), a 7.8-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 26 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Paris Saint-Germain
81.8%
Polymarket 81%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 84%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
PSG
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Barcelona
80.8%
Polymarket 80%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 83%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$127
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Arsenal
76.9%
Polymarket 75.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 81%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$888
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Real Madrid
76%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 75.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Bayern Munich
74%
Polymarket 73%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 77%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$146
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Liverpool
65.3%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 65%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Manchester City
60.4%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 63%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Inter Milan
36.3%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 37%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Inter
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Atlético Madrid
35.9%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 40%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Aston Villa
29.8%
Polymarket 32%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 27.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Show 26 more outcomes
Real Betis
26.5%
Polymarket 27%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 25%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$735
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Roma
24.9%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 26%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$733
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Roma
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Borussia Dortmund
23.3%
Polymarket 23%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 23.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

VfB Stuttgart
22.1%
Polymarket 24%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 18%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$538
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Como
21.3%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 21%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Como
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Manchester United
20.4%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 20%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$496
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Napoli
18.3%
Polymarket 20%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 16.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Napoli
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Club Brugge
15.3%
Polymarket 12%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 18.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Sporting CP
14.3%
Polymarket 14%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 14.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$666
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

PSV Eindhoven
13%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 13.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Villarreal
13%
Polymarket 14%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 12%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

RB Leipzig
12.4%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 9%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Bodø/Glimt
12%
Polymarket 14.6%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 9.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
14.6%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
16.5¢
Sell Yes
12.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$606 (6.06x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bodoe/Glimt
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Feyenoord
11.8%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 8%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Porto
9.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porto
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Porto
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Galatasaray
9.3%
Polymarket 13.2%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 5.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
13.2%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
15.7¢
Sell Yes
10.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$637 (6.37x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Lens
7.5%
Polymarket 10%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lens
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

LASK
6%
Polymarket 8%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
LASK
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LASK
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Fenerbahçe
5.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 11%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fenerbahçe
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$564
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fenerbahce
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Shakhtar Donetsk
5.1%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 4.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shakhtar
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Lille
4.7%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lille
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Slovan Bratislava
3.9%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$224
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

AEK Athens
3.8%
Polymarket 4%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Slavia Prague
3.3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$637
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Viking
2.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Viking
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Sabah
2.1%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 26 h agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabah
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$264
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sabah Masazir
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 26 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Venue prices are 26 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: 7 differences

Where they differ

  • Polymarket resolves No if the quarterfinal matchup is not declared by April 30, 2027 or the tournament is cancelled/postponed; Kalshi has no such fallback and its rules are silent on cancellation.
  • Polymarket resolves No as soon as a club is mathematically eliminated, and allows a consensus of credible reporting; Kalshi has no early-resolution text and relies on actual qualification. Both should give the same result in ordinary scenarios.
  • Kalshi says a team that qualifies but does not compete still resolves Yes; Polymarket says 'reaches the quarterfinal' and is silent on withdrawal or forfeit after qualifying.
  • Kalshi names no resolution source; Polymarket uses UEFA official information, with credible reporting also allowed.
  • Kalshi lists PSG, Leipzig, Dortmund, Inter, Atletico, Shakhtar, Stuttgart and Sabah Masazir; Polymarket uses full names (Paris Saint-Germain, RB Leipzig, etc.) and 'Sabah'. These are naming differences only.
  • Kalshi lists a few teams (e.g. none unmatched beyond naming) but venue end dates differ (Kalshi 2027-04-01 vs Polymarket 2027-03-20); both are well before or after the actual quarterfinal qualification (March 2027), so the listing dates are not the settlement deadline.
  • Trading closes at different times: Mar 20, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Apr 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Polymarket resolves No if the quarterfinal matchup is not declared by April 30, 2027 or the tournament is cancelled/postponed; Kalshi has no such fallback and its rules are silent on cancellation.
  • Polymarket resolves No as soon as a club is mathematically eliminated, and allows a consensus of credible reporting; Kalshi has no early-resolution text and relies on actual qualification. Both should give the same result in ordinary scenarios.
  • Kalshi says a team that qualifies but does not compete still resolves Yes; Polymarket says 'reaches the quarterfinal' and is silent on withdrawal or forfeit after qualifying.
  • Kalshi names no resolution source; Polymarket uses UEFA official information, with credible reporting also allowed.
  • Kalshi lists PSG, Leipzig, Dortmund, Inter, Atletico, Shakhtar, Stuttgart and Sabah Masazir; Polymarket uses full names (Paris Saint-Germain, RB Leipzig, etc.) and 'Sabah'. These are naming differences only.
  • Kalshi lists a few teams (e.g. none unmatched beyond naming) but venue end dates differ (Kalshi 2027-04-01 vs Polymarket 2027-03-20); both are well before or after the actual quarterfinal qualification (March 2027), so the listing dates are not the settlement deadline.
  • Trading closes Mar 20, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Apr 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Paris Saint-Germain
  • Barcelona
  • Arsenal

Live prices for Paris Saint-Germain

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Champions League Quarterfinals Qualifiers". Paris Saint-Germain leads at 81.8%. Next is Barcelona at 80.8%. $71K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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