The Prediction Markets

Chicken wing · Average US wholesale price in October

Closes
Oct 30, 2026, in 7 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Above 100¢ per pound 99%

Next is Above 90¢ per pound at 97%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 100¢ per pound
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100¢ per pound
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90¢ per pound
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90¢ per pound
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 95¢ per pound
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95¢ per pound
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 105¢ per pound
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 105¢ per pound
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$608
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 110¢ per pound
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 110¢ per pound
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$915
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 115¢ per pound
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 115¢ per pound
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$227
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 120¢ per pound
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 120¢ per pound
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 125¢ per pound
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 125¢ per pound
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 130¢ per pound
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 130¢ per pound
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 135¢ per pound
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 135¢ per pound
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 140¢ per pound
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 140¢ per pound
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: USDA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 100¢ per pound
  • Above 90¢ per pound
  • Above 95¢ per pound

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Chicken wing · Average US wholesale price in October". Above 100¢ per pound leads at 99%. Next is Above 90¢ per pound at 97%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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