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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 71.5%
Next is Ends before Round 5? at 63.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds71.5%71.5%50¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)O/U 0.5 Rounds71.5%Polymarket 71.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
71.5%
71.5%
50¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
93¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 71.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Ends before Round 5?63.5%63.5%60¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed66¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Ends before Round 5?63.5%Polymarket 63.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Ends before Round 5?
63.5%
63.5%
60¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
66¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Ends before Round 5?
63.5%
Polymarket 63.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 5?
- Last price
- 63.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds61.5%61.5%50¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)O/U 1.5 Rounds61.5%Polymarket 61.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
61.5%
61.5%
50¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $20
Fight won by KO/TKO?56.5%56.5%53¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed60¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Fight won by KO/TKO?56.5%Polymarket 56.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
56.5%
56.5%
53¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
60¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 56.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $110
Ends before Round 4?53%53%51¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed55¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Ends before Round 4?53%Polymarket 53%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Ends before Round 4?
53%
53%
51¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
55¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Ends before Round 4?
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 4?
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $77
O/U 2.5 Rounds52%52%49¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed55¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $182 (1.82x)O/U 2.5 Rounds52%Polymarket 52%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
52%
52%
49¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
55¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Gane to win by KO/TKO?42.5%42.5%41¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Gane to win by KO/TKO?42.5%Polymarket 42.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Gane to win by KO/TKO?
42.5%
42.5%
41¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Gane to win by KO/TKO?
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ends before Round 3?41%41%38¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Ends before Round 3?41%Polymarket 41%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Ends before Round 3?
41%
41%
38¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Ends before Round 3?
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds40%40%39¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)O/U 3.5 Rounds40%Polymarket 40%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
40%
40%
39¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 3.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $49
O/U 4.5 Rounds38%38%28¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)O/U 4.5 Rounds38%Polymarket 38%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
38%
38%
28¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 4.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Show 18 more outcomesHide 18 outcomes
Decision or Draw37%37%24¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Decision or Draw37%Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
37%
37%
24¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane35.5%35.5%35¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
35.5%
35.5%
35¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $2.0M
Fight won by decision?35%35%25¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Fight won by decision?35%Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Fight won by decision?
35%
35%
25¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Fight won by decision?
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Fight goes the distancePolymarket: “Fight to Go the Distance?”29%29%28¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Fight goes the distance29%Polymarket 29%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Fight goes the distance
Polymarket: “Fight to Go the Distance?”
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Fight goes the distance
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $543
Gane in Round 426.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Gane in Round 426.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 4
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 4
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 4
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 526.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Gane in Round 526.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 5
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 5
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 426.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Hokit in Round 426.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 4
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 4
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 4
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 526.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Hokit in Round 526.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 5
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 5
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight goes the distance26%Not listed26%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 4 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Fight goes the distance26%Kalshi 26%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Fight goes the distance
26%
Not listed
26%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Fight goes the distance
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fight goes the distance
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ends before Round 2?24.5%24.5%22¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Ends before Round 2?24.5%Polymarket 24.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Ends before Round 2?
24.5%
24.5%
22¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Ends before Round 2?
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Gane in Round 120.5%20.5%11¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Gane in Round 120.5%Polymarket 20.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Gane in Round 1
20.5%
20.5%
11¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Gane in Round 1
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 1
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $101
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?18%18%13¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Hokit to win by KO/TKO?18%Polymarket 18%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
18%
18%
13¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $33
Fight won by submission?16.5%16.5%10¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Fight won by submission?16.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Fight won by submission?
16.5%
16.5%
10¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Fight won by submission?
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $42
Gane in Round 213%13%7¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Gane in Round 213%Polymarket 13%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Gane in Round 2
13%
13%
7¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Gane in Round 2
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 2
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Hokit in Round 111%11%3¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Hokit in Round 111%Polymarket 11%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Hokit in Round 1
11%
11%
3¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Hokit in Round 1
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 1
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Gane in Round 39%9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Gane in Round 39%Polymarket 9%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Gane in Round 3
9%
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Gane in Round 3
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 3
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $62
Hokit in Round 27.5%7.5%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Hokit in Round 27.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Hokit in Round 2
7.5%
7.5%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Hokit in Round 2
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 2
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Hokit in Round 35.1%5.1%1.3¢ bid, 8.9¢ askpolled, 39s agoNot listed8.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)Hokit in Round 35.1%Polymarket 5.1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Hokit in Round 3
5.1%
5.1%
1.3¢ bid, 8.9¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
Not listed
8.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Hokit in Round 3
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 3
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,124 (11.2x)
- Volume
- $150
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Ends before Round 5?
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit: Go the Distance". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71.5%. Next is Ends before Round 5? at 63.5%. $2.0M has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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