The Prediction Markets

Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit: Method of Finish

Starts in 40 hKickoff
Traded
$2.1M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

O/U 0.5 Rounds 71.5%

Next is Ends before Round 5? at 63%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 31 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 6 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
O/U 0.5 Rounds
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ends before Round 5?
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ends before Round 5?
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 1.5 Rounds
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
KO/TKO/DQ
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
KO/TKO/DQ
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$434
Trade this on Kalshi
KO/TKO/DQ
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by KO/TKO?
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Ends before Round 4?
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ends before Round 4?
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Rounds
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gane to win by KO/TKO?
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gane to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ends before Round 3?
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ends before Round 3?
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 3.5 Rounds
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 3.5 Rounds
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 21 more outcomes
O/U 4.5 Rounds
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 4.5 Rounds
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Decision or Draw
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Decision or Draw
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by decision?
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by decision?
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%live, 21s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
Price
34.5%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$2.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Decision
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Decision
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Kalshi
Fight to Go the Distance?
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight to Go the Distance?
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$543
Trade this on Polymarket
Gane in Round 4
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gane in Round 4
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gane in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gane in Round 5
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Hokit in Round 4
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hokit in Round 4
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Hokit in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hokit in Round 5
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ends before Round 2?
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ends before Round 2?
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gane in Round 1
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gane in Round 1
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by submission?
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by submission?
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Gane in Round 2
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gane in Round 2
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Submission
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Submission
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$73
Trade this on Kalshi
Gane in Round 3
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gane in Round 3
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Polymarket
Hokit in Round 2
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hokit in Round 2
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Hokit in Round 3
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hokit in Round 3
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Hokit in Round 1
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hokit in Round 1
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw/No Contest
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw/No Contest
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$799
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, Paramount+

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • O/U 0.5 Rounds
  • Ends before Round 5?
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit: Method of Finish". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71.5%. Next is Ends before Round 5? at 63%. $2.1M has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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