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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 71.5%
Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 62%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
1 of 38 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 7 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds71.5%71.5%50¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)O/U 0.5 Rounds71.5%Polymarket 71.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
71.5%
71.5%
50¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
93¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 71.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds62%62%50¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)O/U 1.5 Rounds62%Polymarket 62%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
62%
62%
50¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
74¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Ends before Round 5?60%60%50¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed70¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Ends before Round 5?60%Polymarket 60%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Ends before Round 5?
60%
60%
50¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
70¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Ends before Round 5?
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 5?
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Ends before Round 4?54.5%54.5%47¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed62¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Ends before Round 4?54.5%Polymarket 54.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Ends before Round 4?
54.5%
54.5%
47¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
62¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Ends before Round 4?
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 4?
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $77
Fight won by KO/TKO?54%54%48¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed60¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Fight won by KO/TKO?54%Polymarket 54%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
54%
54%
48¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
60¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $95
Decision / Draw / No Contest53.5%Not listed53.5%14¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 7 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Decision / Draw / No Contest53.5%Kalshi 53.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
53.5%
Not listed
53.5%
14¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
53.5%
Kalshi 53.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- Last price
- 53.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds51%51%46¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed56¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $179 (1.79x)O/U 2.5 Rounds51%Polymarket 51%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
51%
51%
46¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
56¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Gane to win by KO/TKO?46.5%46.5%44¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Gane to win by KO/TKO?46.5%Polymarket 46.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Gane to win by KO/TKO?
46.5%
46.5%
44¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Gane to win by KO/TKO?
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $498
Ends before Round 3?43%43%36¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Ends before Round 3?43%Polymarket 43%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 3?
43%
43%
36¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 3?
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds40%40%39¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)O/U 3.5 Rounds40%Polymarket 40%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
40%
40%
39¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 3.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $41
Show 28 more outcomesHide 28 outcomes
O/U 4.5 Rounds39.5%39.5%29¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)O/U 4.5 Rounds39.5%Polymarket 39.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
39.5%
39.5%
29¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 4.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw37%37%24¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Decision or Draw37%Polymarket 37%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
37%
37%
24¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane36.5%36.5%36¢ bid, 37¢ asklive, 18s agoNot listed37¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane36.5%Polymarket 36.5%live, 18s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
36.5%
36.5%
36¢ bid, 37¢ ask
live, 18s ago
Not listed
37¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%live, 18s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane
- Price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Live feed, just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $926K
Fight won by decision?35.5%35.5%24¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Fight won by decision?35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Fight won by decision?
35.5%
35.5%
24¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Fight won by decision?
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Ends before Round 2?33%33%16¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Ends before Round 2?33%Polymarket 33%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 2?
33%
33%
16¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 2?
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight to Go the Distance?30%30%26¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Fight to Go the Distance?30%Polymarket 30%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
30%
30%
26¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $275
Gane in Round 426.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Gane in Round 426.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 4
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 4
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 4
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 526.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Gane in Round 526.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 5
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Gane in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 5
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 426.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Hokit in Round 426.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 4
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 4
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 4
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 526.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Hokit in Round 526.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 5
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Hokit in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 5
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?23%23%11¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Hokit to win by KO/TKO?23%Polymarket 23%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
23%
23%
11¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Gane in Round 119.5%19.5%9¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Gane in Round 119.5%Polymarket 19.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Gane in Round 1
19.5%
19.5%
9¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Gane in Round 1
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 1
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $101
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 117%Not listed17%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 7 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Ciryl Gane to win in Round 117%Kalshi 17%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 1
17%
Not listed
17%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 1
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ciryl Gane to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $13
Fight won by submission?17%17%10¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Fight won by submission?17%Polymarket 17%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Fight won by submission?
17%
17%
10¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Fight won by submission?
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $42
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 212%Not listed12%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 7 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Ciryl Gane to win in Round 212%Kalshi 12%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 2
12%
Not listed
12%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 2
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ciryl Gane to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $128
Gane in Round 212%12%5¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Gane in Round 212%Polymarket 12%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Gane in Round 2
12%
12%
5¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Gane in Round 2
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 2
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Hokit in Round 111%11%3¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Hokit in Round 111%Polymarket 11%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Hokit in Round 1
11%
11%
3¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Hokit in Round 1
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 1
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Gane in Round 310%10%3¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Gane in Round 310%Polymarket 10%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Gane in Round 3
10%
10%
3¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Gane in Round 3
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gane in Round 3
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 110%Not listed10%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 7 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Josh Hokit to win in Round 110%Kalshi 10%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 1
10%
Not listed
10%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 1
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Hokit to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $578
Josh Hokit to win in Round 29%Not listed9%4¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 7 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Josh Hokit to win in Round 29%Kalshi 9%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 2
9%
Not listed
9%
4¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 2
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Hokit to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $903
Hokit in Round 27.5%7.5%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Hokit in Round 27.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Hokit in Round 2
7.5%
7.5%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Hokit in Round 2
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 2
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 37%Not listed7%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 7 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Josh Hokit to win in Round 37%Kalshi 7%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 3
7%
Not listed
7%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 3
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Hokit to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $72
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 36%Not listed6%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 7 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Ciryl Gane to win in Round 36%Kalshi 6%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 3
6%
Not listed
6%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 3
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ciryl Gane to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Hokit in Round 34.1%4.1%1.4¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Hokit in Round 34.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Hokit in Round 3
4.1%
4.1%
1.4¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Hokit in Round 3
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hokit in Round 3
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $119
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 54%Not listed4%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ciryl Gane to win in Round 54%Kalshi 4%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 5
4%
Not listed
4%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 5
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ciryl Gane to win in Round 5
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $48
Josh Hokit to win in Round 44%Not listed4%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Josh Hokit to win in Round 44%Kalshi 4%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 4
4%
Not listed
4%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 4
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Hokit to win in Round 4
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $113
Josh Hokit to win in Round 54%Not listed4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 7 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Josh Hokit to win in Round 54%Kalshi 4%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 5
4%
Not listed
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Josh Hokit to win in Round 5
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Hokit to win in Round 5
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $47
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 43.5%Not listed3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 7 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Ciryl Gane to win in Round 43.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 4
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ciryl Gane to win in Round 4
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ciryl Gane to win in Round 4
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, Paramount+
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Ends before Round 5?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 62%. $930K has traded across 38 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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