The Prediction Markets

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

FinalKickoff
Traded
$111K
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 8, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 182 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Centro Democrático (CD)
95.6%
Polymarket 97.1%(95.6% fair)polled, 4369 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Centro Democrático (CD)
Last price
97.1%
Fair, margin removed
95.6%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
96.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 4369 h agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Polymarket
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
1.3%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 4369 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$59K
Trade this on Polymarket
MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 4369 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cambio Radical (CR)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4369 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cambio Radical (CR)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Green Alliance (AV)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4369 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Green Alliance (AV)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Partido de la U (La U)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4369 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Partido de la U (La U)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4369 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Centro Democrático (CD)
  • Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
  • Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place". Centro Democrático (CD) last traded at 95.6%. Next is Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 2.4%. $111K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 8, 2026.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More politics markets

See all politics markets