The Prediction Markets

Colorado Senate General Election: voter turnout

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$24K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
10 min ago
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What the markets expect

Above 2.60M 96%

Next is Above 2.10M at 93%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 14 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 2.60M
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.60M
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 14 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$503
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.10M
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 14 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.10M
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 14 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
57¢
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.30M
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.30M
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 14 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.50M
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.50M
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 14 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$598
Trade this on Kalshi
2.55M-2.7M
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.55M-2.7M
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.7M-2.85M
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.7M-2.85M
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 2.90M
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.90M
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 14 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.00M
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.00M
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 14 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$489
Trade this on Kalshi
2.4M-2.55M
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.4M-2.55M
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 3.10M
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.10M
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 14 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Above 3.20M
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.20M
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 14 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
3M+
11.2%
Polymarket 11.2%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 20.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $498 (4.98x)
Polymarket
Contract
3M+
Last price
11.2%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
20.1¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$498 (4.98x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.85M-3M
10.8%
Polymarket 10.8%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 21.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $474 (4.74x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.85M-3M
Last price
10.8%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
21.1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$474 (4.74x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.25M-2.4M
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.25M-2.4M
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.1M
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.1M
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 2.80M
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.80M
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 14 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$71
Trade this on Kalshi
2.1M-2.25M
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 10 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.1M-2.25M
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 10 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Colorado Secretary of State

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 2.60M
  • Above 2.10M
  • Above 2.30M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 2.60M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Colorado Senate General Election: voter turnout". Above 2.60M leads at 96%. Next is Above 2.10M at 93%. $24K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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