The Prediction Markets

Delaware Senate Election: Turnout

Closes
Nov 4, 2026, in 11 days
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 280K 95%

Next is Above 320K at 74%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 280K
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 280K
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 320K
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 320K
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$714
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 350K
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 350K
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
350K-375K
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
350K-375K
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 380K
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 380K
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$434
Trade this on Kalshi
375K-400K
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 29.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $337 (3.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
375K-400K
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29.7¢
Sell Yes
24.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$337 (3.37x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
325K-350K
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
325K-350K
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 410K
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 410K
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$462
Trade this on Kalshi
300K-325K
13.1%
Polymarket 13.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 23.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $426 (4.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
300K-325K
Last price
13.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23.5¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$426 (4.26x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
425K-450K
12.2%
Polymarket 12.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 19.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
425K-450K
Last price
12.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19.8¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$505 (5.05x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 12 more outcomes
400K-425K
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
400K-425K
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 440K
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 440K
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 470K
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 470K
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$482
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 530K
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 530K
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 580K
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 580K
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$199
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 600K
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 600K
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 500K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 500K
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$339
Trade this on Kalshi
450K-475K
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
450K-475K
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$806
Trade this on Polymarket
275K
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
275K
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
475K+
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
475K+
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 550K
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 550K
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
275K-300K
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
275K-300K
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Delaware Department of Elections

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 280K
  • Above 320K
  • Above 350K

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 280K for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Delaware Senate Election: Turnout". Above 280K leads at 95%. Next is Above 320K at 74%. $23K has traded across 22 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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