The Prediction Markets

Denmark Parliamentary Election Winner

Closed
Mar 24, 2026
Traded
$1.1M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 24, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 213 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Social Democrats
99.3%
Polymarket 100%(99.3% fair)polled, 5119 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Social Democrats
Last price
100%
Fair, margin removed
99.3%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$362K
Trade this on Polymarket
Citizens’ Party
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Citizens’ Party
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Conservative People’s Party
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Conservative People’s Party
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Danish People’s Party
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Danish People’s Party
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Polymarket
Danish Social Liberal Party
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Danish Social Liberal Party
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
Denmark Democrats
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denmark Democrats
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
Green Left
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Green Left
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$61K
Trade this on Polymarket
Inuit Ataqatigiit
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inuit Ataqatigiit
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Liberal Alliance
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liberal Alliance
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$153K
Trade this on Polymarket
Moderates
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Moderates
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$54K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
Naleraq
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Naleraq
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Red–Green Alliance
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Red–Green Alliance
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$96K
Trade this on Polymarket
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Alternative
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Alternative
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Polymarket
Union Party
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Union Party
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Venstre
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5119 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Venstre
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$156K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Social Democrats
  • Citizens’ Party
  • Conservative People’s Party

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Denmark Parliamentary Election Winner". Social Democrats last traded at 99.3%. Next is Citizens’ Party at 0.1%. $1.1M has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 24, 2026.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Danish Folketing (unicameral national legislature) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Danish Folketing in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Danish government sources such as the Ministry of Interior and Health (https://www.valg.im.dk/) and Statistics Denmark (https://www.dst.dk/en).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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