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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 68.5%
Next is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 59.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 7 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds68.5%68.5%50¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed87¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $115 (1.15x)O/U 0.5 Rounds68.5%Polymarket 68.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
68.5%
68.5%
50¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
87¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 68.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?59.5%59.5%52¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed67¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Fight won by KO/TKO?59.5%Polymarket 59.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
59.5%
59.5%
52¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
67¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $7
Ends before Round 3?58%58%56¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed60¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Ends before Round 3?58%Polymarket 58%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Ends before Round 3?
58%
58%
56¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
60¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Ends before Round 3?
58%
Polymarket 58%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds55.5%55.5%54¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)O/U 1.5 Rounds55.5%Polymarket 55.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
55.5%
55.5%
54¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 55.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $35
O/U 2.5 Rounds40.5%40.5%31¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)O/U 2.5 Rounds40.5%Polymarket 40.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
40.5%
40.5%
31¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson38.5%38.5%38¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed39¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson38.5%Polymarket 38.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson
38.5%
38.5%
38¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
39¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $37K
Decision or Draw36.5%36.5%23¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Decision or Draw36.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
36.5%
36.5%
23¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by decision?35.5%35.5%23¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Fight won by decision?35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by decision?
35.5%
35.5%
23¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by decision?
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Johnson to win by KO/TKO?35.5%35.5%34¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed37¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Johnson to win by KO/TKO?35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Johnson to win by KO/TKO?
35.5%
35.5%
34¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
37¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Johnson to win by KO/TKO?
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Johnson to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Almeida to win by KO/TKO?35%35%26¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Almeida to win by KO/TKO?35%Polymarket 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Almeida to win by KO/TKO?
35%
35%
26¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Almeida to win by KO/TKO?
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almeida to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Ends before Round 2?33%33%31¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Ends before Round 2?33%Polymarket 33%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Ends before Round 2?
33%
33%
31¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Ends before Round 2?
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Johnson in Round 132%32%14¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Johnson in Round 132%Polymarket 32%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Johnson in Round 1
32%
32%
14¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Johnson in Round 1
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Johnson in Round 1
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Johnson in Round 230%30%10¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Johnson in Round 230%Polymarket 30%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Johnson in Round 2
30%
30%
10¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Johnson in Round 2
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Johnson in Round 2
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight to Go the Distance?29.5%29.5%28¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Fight to Go the Distance?29.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
29.5%
29.5%
28¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Almeida in Round 128.5%28.5%7¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Almeida in Round 128.5%Polymarket 28.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Almeida in Round 1
28.5%
28.5%
7¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Almeida in Round 1
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almeida in Round 1
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Almeida in Round 227.5%27.5%5¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Almeida in Round 227.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Almeida in Round 2
27.5%
27.5%
5¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Almeida in Round 2
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almeida in Round 2
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Almeida in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Almeida in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Almeida in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Almeida in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almeida in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by submission?26.5%26.5%5¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Fight won by submission?26.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
26.5%
26.5%
5¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Johnson in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Johnson in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Johnson in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Johnson in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Johnson in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest25%Not listed25%25¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 7 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Decision / Draw / No Contest25%Kalshi 25%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
25%
Not listed
25%
25¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $1
Donte Johnson to win in Round 123%Not listed23%21¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 7 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Donte Johnson to win in Round 123%Kalshi 23%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Donte Johnson to win in Round 1
23%
Not listed
23%
21¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Donte Johnson to win in Round 1
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Donte Johnson to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $13
Cesar Almeida to win in Round 113%Not listed13%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 7 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Cesar Almeida to win in Round 113%Kalshi 13%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Cesar Almeida to win in Round 1
13%
Not listed
13%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Cesar Almeida to win in Round 1
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cesar Almeida to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $15
Donte Johnson to win in Round 212.5%Not listed12.5%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 7 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Donte Johnson to win in Round 212.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Donte Johnson to win in Round 2
12.5%
Not listed
12.5%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Donte Johnson to win in Round 2
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Donte Johnson to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Cesar Almeida to win in Round 210%Not listed10%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 7 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Cesar Almeida to win in Round 210%Kalshi 10%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cesar Almeida to win in Round 2
10%
Not listed
10%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cesar Almeida to win in Round 2
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cesar Almeida to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $489
Donte Johnson to win in Round 38%Not listed8%7¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 7 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Donte Johnson to win in Round 38%Kalshi 8%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Donte Johnson to win in Round 3
8%
Not listed
8%
7¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Donte Johnson to win in Round 3
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Donte Johnson to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Cesar Almeida to win in Round 36%Not listed6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 7 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Cesar Almeida to win in Round 36%Kalshi 6%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Cesar Almeida to win in Round 3
6%
Not listed
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Cesar Almeida to win in Round 3
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cesar Almeida to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $855
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, Paramount+
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Ends before Round 3?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Donte Johnson vs. Cesar Almeida: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 68.5%. Next is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 59.5%. $39K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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