The Prediction Markets

Dp World Tour Championship: Top 10 Finishers

Starts in 13 hKickoff
Traded
$19K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Jon Rahm 46.6%

Next is Rory McIlroy at 45.1%. The venues differ most on Rory McIlroy (Polymarket 21.5%, Kalshi 77%), a 56-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jon RahmArb
46.6%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 58%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 13¢ and selling on Kalshi at 57¢ nets 4400 bps before fees.

Rory McIlroyArb
45.1%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 77%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 23¢ and selling on Kalshi at 72¢ nets 4900 bps before fees.

Tommy FleetwoodArb
31.2%
Polymarket 7.3%polled, 29s agoKalshi 55%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 51¢ nets 4300 bps before fees.

Angel Ayora Fanegas
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Ayora Fanegas
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Eugenio Lopez-ChacarraArb
23.2%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 42%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 39¢ nets 3370 bps before fees.

Matt WallaceArb
21.3%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 39.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 3430 bps before fees.

Joe Dean
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Dean
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel HillierArb
20.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 38.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$256
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 36¢ nets 3300 bps before fees.

Kristoffer ReitanArb
19.5%
Polymarket 4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 35%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$375
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 2740 bps before fees.

Daniel Bradbury
17.9%
Polymarket 17.9%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 35.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $280 (2.80x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Bradbury
Last price
17.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$280 (2.80x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 45 more outcomes
Niklas Norgaard
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Niklas Norgaard
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ignacio Elvira
17.1%
Polymarket 17.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 34.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $292 (2.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ignacio Elvira
Last price
17.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$292 (2.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Victor PerezArb
17.1%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 32%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 30¢ nets 2750 bps before fees.

Patrick ReedArb
16.8%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 29s agoKalshi 35%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 30¢ nets 2800 bps before fees.

Adam ScottArb
16.6%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 51%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
4.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 45¢ nets 3910 bps before fees.

David PuigArb
16.6%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 30%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Puig
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$308
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Puig
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 27¢ nets 2330 bps before fees.

Aaron RaiArb
15.7%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 30%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 28¢ nets 2580 bps before fees.

Kota Kaneko
14.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 10.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$271 (2.71x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 36.9¢.

Ewen FergusonArb
14.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 27%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 24¢ nets 2180 bps before fees.

Matthew JordanArb
13.6%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 26%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 23¢ nets 2140 bps before fees.

Jorge Campillo
13.5%
Polymarket 17.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
17.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$293 (2.93x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 34.1¢.

Davis Bryant
13.5%
Polymarket 18.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 9%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
18.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$277 (2.77x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 36.1¢.

Tyrrell HattonArb
13.4%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 29s agoKalshi 39%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
4.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$301
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 3280 bps before fees.

Adrian Otaegui
13.1%
Polymarket 17.3%polled, 29s agoKalshi 9%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
17.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$290 (2.90x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 34.5¢.

Jacob Skov OlesenArb
12.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 29s agoKalshi 23.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1820 bps before fees.

Grant Forrest
12.2%
Polymarket 17.4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 7%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
17.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$287 (2.87x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 34.8¢.

Nacho Elvira
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nacho Elvira
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden SchaperArb
11.8%
Polymarket 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 22.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 19¢ nets 1700 bps before fees.

Oliver LindellArb
11.5%
Polymarket 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 22%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 19¢ nets 1750 bps before fees.

Daniel Bradbury
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Bradbury
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bernd WiesbergerArb
10.7%
Polymarket 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 20.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$312
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 17¢ nets 1560 bps before fees.

Francesco LaportaArb
10.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 20.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 17¢ nets 1570 bps before fees.

Casey JarvisArb
9.9%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 29s agoKalshi 19%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 16¢ nets 1440 bps before fees.

Freddy SchottArb
9.4%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 29s agoKalshi 18%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 15¢ nets 1350 bps before fees.

Mikael LindbergArb
9.1%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 17.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 1290 bps before fees.

Frederic LacroixArb
8.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 17%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 1290 bps before fees.

Joost LuitenArb
8.8%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 17%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 1300 bps before fees.

Martin CouvraArb
8.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 16.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 1310 bps before fees.

Angel HidalgoArb
8.3%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 16%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 13¢ nets 1180 bps before fees.

Gregorio De LeoArb
8.3%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 16%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 13¢ nets 1190 bps before fees.

Ryan FoxArb
8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 26%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Fox
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Fox
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 23¢ nets 2020 bps before fees.

Marcus ArmitageArb
7.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 14.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

Hennie Du PlessisArb
7.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 14.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

Calum HillArb
7.3%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 14%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 970 bps before fees.

Julien GuerrierArb
7.3%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 13.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 770 bps before fees.

Andy SullivanArb
7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 13.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 990 bps before fees.

Adrian MeronkArb
6.8%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 23%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 18¢ nets 1620 bps before fees.

Yuto KatsuragawaArb
6%
Polymarket 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 7¢ nets 320 bps before fees.

Thriston LawrenceArb
5.3%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 7¢ nets 590 bps before fees.

Manuel ElviraArb
5.3%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 7¢ nets 610 bps before fees.

Jeff WintherArb
5.2%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 9%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 6¢ nets 330 bps before fees.

Shaun Norris
4%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 29s agoKalshi 6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.6¢.

Angel Ayora
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Ayora
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe Dean
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joseph Dean
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Niklas Noergaard
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Niklas Noergaard
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Rory McIlroy on Polymarket at 23¢, sell on Kalshi at 72¢ (4900 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: europeantour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: DP World Tour
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jon Rahm
  • Rory McIlroy
  • Tommy Fleetwood

Live prices for Jon Rahm

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Dp World Tour Championship: Top 10 Finishers". Jon Rahm leads at 46.6%. Next is Rory McIlroy at 45.1%. $19K has traded across 55 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 13, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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