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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 68%
Next is Ends before Round 3? at 60%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds68%68%50¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)O/U 0.5 Rounds68%Polymarket 68%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
68%
68%
50¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Ends before Round 3?60%60%58¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed62¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Ends before Round 3?60%Polymarket 60%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Ends before Round 3?
60%
60%
58¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
62¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Ends before Round 3?
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds53.5%53.5%52¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed55¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $182 (1.82x)O/U 1.5 Rounds53.5%Polymarket 53.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
53.5%
53.5%
52¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
55¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 53.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?51%51%47¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed55¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Fight won by KO/TKO?51%Polymarket 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
51%
51%
47¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
55¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds38.5%38.5%27¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)O/U 2.5 Rounds38.5%Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
38.5%
38.5%
27¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan37.5%37.5%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed38¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan37.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan
37.5%
37.5%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
38¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $12K
Dober to win by KO/TKO?36.5%36.5%24¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Dober to win by KO/TKO?36.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Dober to win by KO/TKO?
36.5%
36.5%
24¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Dober to win by KO/TKO?
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dober to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Ends before Round 2?35.5%35.5%33¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed38¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Ends before Round 2?35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Ends before Round 2?
35.5%
35.5%
33¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
38¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Ends before Round 2?
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Decision or Draw33.5%33.5%17¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Decision or Draw33.5%Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
33.5%
33.5%
17¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by submission?33.5%33.5%19¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Fight won by submission?33.5%Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
33.5%
33.5%
19¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Fight won by decision?33%33%18¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Fight won by decision?33%Polymarket 33%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by decision?
33%
33%
18¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by decision?
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Duncan to win by KO/TKO?32.5%32.5%17¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Duncan to win by KO/TKO?32.5%Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Duncan to win by KO/TKO?
32.5%
32.5%
17¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Duncan to win by KO/TKO?
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Duncan to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Duncan in Round 132%32%14¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Duncan in Round 132%Polymarket 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Duncan in Round 1
32%
32%
14¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Duncan in Round 1
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Duncan in Round 1
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Drew Dober by KO/TKO/DQ30%Not listed30%28¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 2 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Drew Dober by KO/TKO/DQ30%Kalshi 30%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Drew Dober by KO/TKO/DQ
30%
Not listed
30%
28¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Drew Dober by KO/TKO/DQ
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drew Dober by KO/TKO/DQ
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $526
Dober in Round 129.5%29.5%9¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Dober in Round 129.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dober in Round 1
29.5%
29.5%
9¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dober in Round 1
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dober in Round 1
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Duncan in Round 229.5%29.5%9¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Duncan in Round 229.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Duncan in Round 2
29.5%
29.5%
9¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Duncan in Round 2
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Duncan in Round 2
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Dober in Round 228%28%6¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Dober in Round 228%Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dober in Round 2
28%
28%
6¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dober in Round 2
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dober in Round 2
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Dober in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Dober in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dober in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dober in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dober in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Duncan in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Duncan in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Duncan in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Duncan in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Duncan in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Chris Duncan by KO/TKO/DQ23%Not listed23%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 2 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Chris Duncan by KO/TKO/DQ23%Kalshi 23%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Chris Duncan by KO/TKO/DQ
23%
Not listed
23%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Chris Duncan by KO/TKO/DQ
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Duncan by KO/TKO/DQ
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $62
Fight to Go the Distance?22.5%22.5%21¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Fight to Go the Distance?22.5%Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
22.5%
22.5%
21¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $116
Chris Duncan by Submission22%Not listed22%17¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 2 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Chris Duncan by Submission22%Kalshi 22%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Chris Duncan by Submission
22%
Not listed
22%
17¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Chris Duncan by Submission
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Duncan by Submission
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $154
Chris Duncan by Decision17%Not listed17%15¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 2 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Chris Duncan by Decision17%Kalshi 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Chris Duncan by Decision
17%
Not listed
17%
15¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Chris Duncan by Decision
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Duncan by Decision
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $35
Drew Dober by Decision8%Not listed8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 2 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Drew Dober by Decision8%Kalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Drew Dober by Decision
8%
Not listed
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Drew Dober by Decision
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drew Dober by Decision
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Drew Dober by Submission3.5%Not listed3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Drew Dober by Submission3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Drew Dober by Submission
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Drew Dober by Submission
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drew Dober by Submission
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Draw/No Contest2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Draw/No Contest2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw/No Contest
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw/No Contest
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Draw/No Contest
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, Paramount+
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Ends before Round 3?
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan: Method of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 68%. Next is Ends before Round 3? at 60%. $15K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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