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ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Above 80 97.5%
Next is Above 82 at 97.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 8097.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 2 min agoNo askAbove 8097.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 80
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 2 min ago
No ask
Above 80
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 8297.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 2 min agoNo askAbove 8297.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 82
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 2 min ago
No ask
Above 82
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 8497.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 2 min agoNo askAbove 8497.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 84
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 2 min ago
No ask
Above 84
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 8697.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 2 min agoNo askAbove 8697.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 86
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 2 min ago
No ask
Above 86
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 8896.5%96.5%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 2 min agoNo askAbove 8896.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 88
96.5%
96.5%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 2 min ago
No ask
Above 88
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 2 min ago
Above 9087%87%78¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 2 min ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Above 9087%Kalshi 87%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Above 90
87%
87%
78¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Above 90
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 90
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $670
Above 9252%52%44¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 2 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Above 9252%Kalshi 52%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Above 92
52%
52%
44¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Above 92
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 92
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $18
Above 9415.5%15.5%11¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 2 min ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Above 9415.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Above 94
15.5%
15.5%
11¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Above 94
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 94
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Above 967%7%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 2 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Above 967%Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 96
7%
7%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 96
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 96
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $21
Above 985%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 985%Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 98
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 98
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 98
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $29
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
Above 1022.9%2.9%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 1022.9%Kalshi 2.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 102
2.9%
2.9%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 102
2.9%
Kalshi 2.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 102
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $858
Above 1002.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 1002.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 100
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 100
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 100
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 1042.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 1042.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 104
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 104
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 104
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 1062.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 1062.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 106
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 106
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 106
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 1082.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 1082.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 108
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 108
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 108
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Carbon Arc
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 80
- Above 82
- Above 84
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Fast food credit card spend array index in October 2026". Above 80 leads at 97.5%. Next is Above 82 at 97.5%. $2K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 5, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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