Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Zhu Jiner 32.8%
Next is Ju Wenjun at 19.7%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 7 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Zhu Jiner32.8%40%32.8% fair40¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 7 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Zhu Jiner32.8%Kalshi 40%(32.8% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Zhu Jiner
32.8%
40%
32.8% fair
40¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Zhu Jiner
32.8%
Kalshi 40%(32.8% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zhu Jiner
- Last price
- 40%
- Fair, margin removed
- 32.8%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $810
Ju Wenjun19.7%24%19.7% fair19¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 7 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Ju Wenjun19.7%Kalshi 24%(19.7% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Ju Wenjun
19.7%
24%
19.7% fair
19¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Ju Wenjun
19.7%
Kalshi 24%(19.7% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ju Wenjun
- Last price
- 24%
- Fair, margin removed
- 19.7%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Bibisara Assaubayeva6.6%8%6.6% fair6¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 7 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Bibisara Assaubayeva6.6%Kalshi 8%(6.6% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Bibisara Assaubayeva
6.6%
8%
6.6% fair
6¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Bibisara Assaubayeva
6.6%
Kalshi 8%(6.6% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bibisara Assaubayeva
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.6%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $200
Aleksandra Goryachkina4.5%5.5%4.5% fair1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 7 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Aleksandra Goryachkina4.5%Kalshi 5.5%(4.5% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Aleksandra Goryachkina
4.5%
5.5%
4.5% fair
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Aleksandra Goryachkina
4.5%
Kalshi 5.5%(4.5% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aleksandra Goryachkina
- Last price
- 5.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Lei Tingjie3.7%4.5%3.7% fair— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 7 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Lei Tingjie3.7%Kalshi 4.5%(3.7% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lei Tingjie
3.7%
4.5%
3.7% fair
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lei Tingjie
3.7%
Kalshi 4.5%(3.7% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lei Tingjie
- Last price
- 4.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Hou Yifan2.9%3.5%2.9% fair— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 7 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Hou Yifan2.9%Kalshi 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Hou Yifan
2.9%
3.5%
2.9% fair
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Hou Yifan
2.9%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hou Yifan
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Tan Zhongyi2.9%3.5%2.9% fair— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 7 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Tan Zhongyi2.9%Kalshi 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tan Zhongyi
2.9%
3.5%
2.9% fair
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tan Zhongyi
2.9%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tan Zhongyi
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Anna Muzychuk2.5%3%2.5% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 7 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Anna Muzychuk2.5%Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Anna Muzychuk
2.5%
3%
2.5% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Anna Muzychuk
2.5%
Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anna Muzychuk
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Alexandra Kosteniuk2.1%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Alexandra Kosteniuk2.1%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alexandra Kosteniuk
2.1%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alexandra Kosteniuk
2.1%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexandra Kosteniuk
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Alice Lee2.1%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Alice Lee2.1%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alice Lee
2.1%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alice Lee
2.1%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alice Lee
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Alina Kashlinskaya2.1%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Alina Kashlinskaya2.1%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alina Kashlinskaya
2.1%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alina Kashlinskaya
2.1%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alina Kashlinskaya
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Anastasiia Hnatyshyn2.1%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Anastasiia Hnatyshyn2.1%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Anastasiia Hnatyshyn
2.1%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Anastasiia Hnatyshyn
2.1%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anastasiia Hnatyshyn
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Divya Deshmukh2%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Divya Deshmukh2%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Divya Deshmukh
2%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Divya Deshmukh
2%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Divya Deshmukh
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Kateryna Lagno2%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Kateryna Lagno2%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kateryna Lagno
2%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kateryna Lagno
2%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kateryna Lagno
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Koneru Humpy2%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Koneru Humpy2%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Koneru Humpy
2%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Koneru Humpy
2%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Koneru Humpy
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Mariya Muzychuk2%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Mariya Muzychuk2%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mariya Muzychuk
2%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mariya Muzychuk
2%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mariya Muzychuk
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Nana Dzagnidze2%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Nana Dzagnidze2%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Nana Dzagnidze
2%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Nana Dzagnidze
2%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nana Dzagnidze
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Nino Batsiashvili2%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Nino Batsiashvili2%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Nino Batsiashvili
2%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Nino Batsiashvili
2%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nino Batsiashvili
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Polina Shuvalova2%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Polina Shuvalova2%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polina Shuvalova
2%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polina Shuvalova
2%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Polina Shuvalova
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Song Yuxin2%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Song Yuxin2%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Song Yuxin
2%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Song Yuxin
2%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Song Yuxin
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIDE World Top Players
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Zhu Jiner
- Ju Wenjun
- Bibisara Assaubayeva
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "FIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: #2 Rated in January 2027". Zhu Jiner leads at 32.8%. Next is Ju Wenjun at 19.7%. $1K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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