The Prediction Markets

FIDE World Senior Championship Women 50+ Winner

Closes
Nov 21, 2026, in 8 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
8 min ago
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What the markets expect

Pia Cramling 79%

Next is Maritza Arribas Robaina at 11%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 8 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Pia Cramling
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pia Cramling
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$531
Trade this on Kalshi
Maritza Arribas Robaina
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maritza Arribas Robaina
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Monica Calzetta Ruiz
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Monica Calzetta Ruiz
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$319
Trade this on Kalshi
Inga Khurtsilava
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inga Khurtsilava
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
Agnes Eden
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Agnes Eden
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arpi Shah
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arpi Shah
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Catherine Jorgensen
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Catherine Jorgensen
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Emilia Georgieva
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Emilia Georgieva
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Gundula Heinatz
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gundula Heinatz
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Inna Gaponenko
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inna Gaponenko
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 18 more outcomes
Irina Gileva
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Irina Gileva
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ketevan Arakhamia-Grant
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ketevan Arakhamia-Grant
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ksenia Baglay
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ksenia Baglay
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Margit Brokko
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Margit Brokko
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Martina Folkova
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Martina Folkova
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nailia Kurmaeva
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nailia Kurmaeva
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Natalya Nik Mikheeva
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Natalya Nik Mikheeva
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Olga Birkholz
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Olga Birkholz
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Olha Apostolakii
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Olha Apostolakii
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oxana Malevanaia
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oxana Malevanaia
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Roza Idrisova
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Roza Idrisova
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sheila Barth Stanford
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sheila Barth Stanford
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Simona Novak
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Simona Novak
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sopio Nikoladze
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sopio Nikoladze
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sopio Tereladze
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sopio Tereladze
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Suzana Maksimovic
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Suzana Maksimovic
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vania Dora Madona Vaz
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vania Dora Madona Vaz
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yelena Gaichenya
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yelena Gaichenya
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Chess.com, FIDE

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Pia Cramling
  • Maritza Arribas Robaina
  • Monica Calzetta Ruiz

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "FIDE World Senior Championship Women 50+ Winner". Pia Cramling leads at 79%. Next is Maritza Arribas Robaina at 11%. $1K has traded across 28 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 21, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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