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What the markets expect
Galina Strutinskaia 99%
Next is Bagyashree Sathe Thipsay at 47.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Galina Strutinskaia99%99%91¢ bid, — askpolled, 6 min agoNo askGalina Strutinskaia99%Kalshi 99%polled, 6 min ago
Galina Strutinskaia
99%
99%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, 6 min ago
No ask
Galina Strutinskaia
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 6 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Galina Strutinskaia
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- Volume
- $1K
Bagyashree Sathe Thipsay47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Bagyashree Sathe Thipsay47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Bagyashree Sathe Thipsay
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Bagyashree Sathe Thipsay
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bagyashree Sathe Thipsay
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Diana Skibbe47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Diana Skibbe47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Diana Skibbe
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Diana Skibbe
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Diana Skibbe
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Elena Krasenkowa47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Elena Krasenkowa47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Elena Krasenkowa
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Elena Krasenkowa
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elena Krasenkowa
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Elzbieta Sosnowska47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Elzbieta Sosnowska47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Elzbieta Sosnowska
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Elzbieta Sosnowska
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elzbieta Sosnowska
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Gudlaug Thorsteinsdottir47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Gudlaug Thorsteinsdottir47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Gudlaug Thorsteinsdottir
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Gudlaug Thorsteinsdottir
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gudlaug Thorsteinsdottir
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Ingrid Lauterbach47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Ingrid Lauterbach47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Ingrid Lauterbach
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Ingrid Lauterbach
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ingrid Lauterbach
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Irina Bulanova47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Irina Bulanova47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Irina Bulanova
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Irina Bulanova
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Irina Bulanova
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Larisa Khropova47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Larisa Khropova47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Larisa Khropova
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Larisa Khropova
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Larisa Khropova
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Ligia-Letitia Jicman47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Ligia-Letitia Jicman47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Ligia-Letitia Jicman
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Ligia-Letitia Jicman
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ligia-Letitia Jicman
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Lozanka Nestorova47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Lozanka Nestorova47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Lozanka Nestorova
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Lozanka Nestorova
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lozanka Nestorova
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Margarita Baliuniene47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Margarita Baliuniene47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Margarita Baliuniene
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Margarita Baliuniene
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Margarita Baliuniene
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Marija Petrovic47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Marija Petrovic47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Marija Petrovic
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Marija Petrovic
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marija Petrovic
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Marina Aseeva47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Marina Aseeva47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Marina Aseeva
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Marina Aseeva
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marina Aseeva
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Marina Makropoulou47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Marina Makropoulou47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Marina Makropoulou
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Marina Makropoulou
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marina Makropoulou
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Marina Sekhposjan47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Marina Sekhposjan47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Marina Sekhposjan
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Marina Sekhposjan
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marina Sekhposjan
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Martine Dubois47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Martine Dubois47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Martine Dubois
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Martine Dubois
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Martine Dubois
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Mira Kierzek47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Mira Kierzek47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Mira Kierzek
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Mira Kierzek
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mira Kierzek
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Nadezhda Neuymina47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Nadezhda Neuymina47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Nadezhda Neuymina
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Nadezhda Neuymina
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nadezhda Neuymina
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Nadezhda Sevastyanova47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Nadezhda Sevastyanova47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Nadezhda Sevastyanova
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Nadezhda Sevastyanova
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nadezhda Sevastyanova
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Natalia Evtushenkova47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Natalia Evtushenkova47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Natalia Evtushenkova
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Natalia Evtushenkova
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Natalia Evtushenkova
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Nona Gaprindashvili47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Nona Gaprindashvili47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Nona Gaprindashvili
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Nona Gaprindashvili
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nona Gaprindashvili
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Olga Grigoryeva47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Olga Grigoryeva47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Olga Grigoryeva
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Olga Grigoryeva
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Olga Grigoryeva
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Sigurl. Regina Fridthjofsdottir47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Sigurl. Regina Fridthjofsdottir47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Sigurl. Regina Fridthjofsdottir
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Sigurl. Regina Fridthjofsdottir
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sigurl. Regina Fridthjofsdottir
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Simona Orel Music47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Simona Orel Music47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Simona Orel Music
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Simona Orel Music
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Simona Orel Music
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Tatiana Bogumil47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 6 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Tatiana Bogumil47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Tatiana Bogumil
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Tatiana Bogumil
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tatiana Bogumil
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Annett Wagner-Michel47%47%— bid, 94¢ askpolled, 6 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Annett Wagner-Michel47%Kalshi 47%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Annett Wagner-Michel
47%
47%
— bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Annett Wagner-Michel
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Annett Wagner-Michel
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Aureliana-Eugenia Pancu47%47%— bid, 94¢ askpolled, 6 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Aureliana-Eugenia Pancu47%Kalshi 47%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Aureliana-Eugenia Pancu
47%
47%
— bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Aureliana-Eugenia Pancu
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aureliana-Eugenia Pancu
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Irina Chelushkina40.5%40.5%— bid, 81¢ askpolled, 6 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Irina Chelushkina40.5%Kalshi 40.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Irina Chelushkina
40.5%
40.5%
— bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Irina Chelushkina
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Irina Chelushkina
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Chess.com, FIDE, Grand Chess Tour
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Galina Strutinskaia
- Bagyashree Sathe Thipsay
- Diana Skibbe
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ Winner". Galina Strutinskaia leads at 99%. Next is Bagyashree Sathe Thipsay at 47.5%. $1K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 21, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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