The Prediction Markets

Hawaii gas prices tomorrow

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 5 hours
Traded
$13K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 5.6100 99%

Next is Above 5.6150 at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 5.6100
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 17s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6100
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6150
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 17s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6150
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6200
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6200
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6250
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 17s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6250
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
75¢
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6300
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6300
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6350
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6350
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6400
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6400
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6450
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6450
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6500
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6500
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6550
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6550
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Above 5.6600
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6600
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6650
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6650
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6700
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6700
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6750
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6750
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6800
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6800
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6850
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6850
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6900
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 17s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6900
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: AAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 5.6100
  • Above 5.6150
  • Above 5.6200

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Hawaii gas prices tomorrow". Above 5.6100 leads at 99%. Next is Above 5.6150 at 99%. $13K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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