The Prediction Markets

How high will the CAC 40 get in June 2026?

Closed
Jul 1, 2026
Traded
$5K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jul 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
At least €8,450
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3026 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
At least €8,450
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
At least €8,500
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3026 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
At least €8,500
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
At least €8,600
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least €8,600
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
At least €8,650
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least €8,650
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
At least €8,550
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least €8,550
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
At least €8,800
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least €8,800
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
At least €8,750
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least €8,750
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
At least €8,700
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least €8,700
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Trading View

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • At least €8,450
  • At least €8,500
  • At least €8,600

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "How high will the CAC 40 get in June 2026?". At least €8,450 last traded at 99%. Next is At least €8,500 at 99%. $5K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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