Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
100 59.1%
Next is 110 at 50.5%. The venues differ most on 100 (Polymarket 61.5%, Kalshi 56%), a 5.5-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
100Kalshi: “Below $100.00”59.1%61.5%59¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 1 min ago56%56¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, just now59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)10059.1%Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
100
Kalshi: “Below $100.00”
59.1%
61.5%
59¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
56%
56¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, just now
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
100
59.1%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 100
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $35K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $100.00
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $27K
Resolution sources differ
Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 59¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 59¢.
11050.5%50.5%48¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)11050.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
110
50.5%
50.5%
48¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
53¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
110
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 110
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $5K
Below $95.0028%Not listed28%21¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, just now28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Below $95.0028%Kalshi 28%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Below $95.00
28%
Not listed
28%
21¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, just now
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Below $95.00
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $95.00
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $5K
12013.5%13.5%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)12013.5%Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
120
13.5%
13.5%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
120
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 120
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $6K
Above $125.0011%Not listed11%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Above $125.0011%Kalshi 11%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Above $125.00
11%
Not listed
11%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Above $125.00
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $125.00
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $5K
90Kalshi: “Below $90.00”10.9%11.5%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9%8¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, just now13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)9010.9%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
90
Kalshi: “Below $90.00”
10.9%
11.5%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9%
8¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, just now
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
90
10.9%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 90
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $33K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $90.00
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $10K
Resolution sources differ
Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.
Above $135.008%Not listed8%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Above $135.008%Kalshi 8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above $135.00
8%
Not listed
8%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above $135.00
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $135.00
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Below $85.008%Not listed8%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Below $85.008%Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Below $85.00
8%
Not listed
8%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Below $85.00
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $85.00
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Below $75.006%Not listed6%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Below $75.006%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Below $75.00
6%
Not listed
6%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Below $75.00
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $75.00
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $919
Above $145.005%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above $145.005%Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $145.00
5%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $145.00
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $145.00
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Above $155.005%Not listed5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above $155.005%Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $155.00
5%
Not listed
5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above $155.00
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $155.00
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
130Kalshi: “Above $130.00”4.5%4.1%3.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)1304.5%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
130
Kalshi: “Above $130.00”
4.5%
4.1%
3.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
130
4.5%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 130
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $24K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $130.00
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
Resolution sources differ
Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.9¢.
80Kalshi: “Below $80.00”3.3%2.5%2.1¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)803.3%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
80
Kalshi: “Below $80.00”
3.3%
2.5%
2.1¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
80
3.3%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 80
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $39K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below $80.00
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Resolution sources differ
Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.8¢.
140Kalshi: “Above $140.00”2.2%2%1.7¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3 min ago2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)1402.2%Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
140
Kalshi: “Above $140.00”
2.2%
2%
1.7¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
140
2.2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 140
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $28K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $140.00
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Resolution sources differ
Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.2¢.
150Kalshi: “Above $150.00”1.6%1.1%0.9¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3 min ago1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)1501.6%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
150
Kalshi: “Above $150.00”
1.6%
1.1%
0.9¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
150
1.6%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 150
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $34K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above $150.00
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
Resolution sources differ
Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.
701.6%1.6%0.6¢ bid, 2.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed2.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)701.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
70
1.6%
1.6%
0.6¢ bid, 2.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
2.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
70
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 70
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,000 (40.0x)
- Volume
- $34K
601.4%1.4%1.3¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)601.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
60
1.4%
1.4%
1.3¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
60
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 60
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $63K
1601.1%1.1%0.6¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)1601.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
160
1.1%
1.1%
0.6¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
160
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 160
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $22K
1800.7%0.7%0.2¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)1800.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
180
0.7%
0.7%
0.2¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
180
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 180
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $5K
1700.5%0.5%0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)1700.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
170
0.5%
0.5%
0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
170
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 170
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $15K
500.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)500.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
50
0.3%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
50
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 50
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $26K
1900.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)1900.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
190
0.3%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
190
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 190
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $21K
2000.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)2000.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
200
0.3%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
200
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 200
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $24K
300.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)300.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
30
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
30
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 30
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $15K
400.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)400.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
40
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
40
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 40
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $6K
200.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)200.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
20
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
20
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 20
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $29K
No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads
Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules
Where they differ
- Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
- Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
- Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
- Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
- Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
- Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 1, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 100
- 110
- Below $95.00
Live prices for 100
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "How low will SOL get in October?". 100 leads at 59.1%. Next is 110 at 50.5%. $554K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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