The Prediction Markets

Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner

Closed
Oct 5, 2026
Traded
$34K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Emerson Nolasco Delgado
89.4%
Polymarket 78.3%(89.4% fair)polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 95.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Emerson Nolasco Delgado
Last price
78.3%
Fair, margin removed
89.4%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
95.8¢
Sell Yes
60.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez
6.4%
Polymarket 5.7%(6.5% fair)polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez
Last price
5.7%
Fair, margin removed
6.5%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jorge James Pérez Rosas
3.1%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jorge James Pérez Rosas
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez
0.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Albino Aguirre Pacheco
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Albino Aguirre Pacheco
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$354
Trade this on Polymarket
Jesús Armando Contreras Lazo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jesús Armando Contreras Lazo
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$848
Trade this on Polymarket
Julio César De La Rosa Luján
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julio César De La Rosa Luján
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$959
Trade this on Polymarket
Paulo César Beltrán Ponce
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paulo César Beltrán Ponce
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$698
Trade this on Polymarket
Ronald Omar Venero Arango
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ronald Omar Venero Arango
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Wilmer Isac Canales Ascona
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wilmer Isac Canales Ascona
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$844
Trade this on Polymarket
Yody Sandro Leonides Nájera
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 85 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yody Sandro Leonides Nájera
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$883
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: jne.gob.pe

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Emerson Nolasco Delgado
  • Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez
  • Jorge James Pérez Rosas

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner". Emerson Nolasco Delgado last traded at 89.4%. Next is Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez at 6.4%. $34K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Oct 4, 2026.

The 2026 Huancayo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Huancayo as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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